foxalgoSzenario-Finder — Aktien
Wähle einen Markt und hake dann ab, was heute tatsächlich passiert ist - ein Gap-Up, Asien nimmt das gestrige Hoch heraus, und so weiter. Wir zeigen jeden vorab verifizierten Treffer, der passt, mit gemessener Rate gegenüber der Basisrate, Stichprobengröße und Konfidenzintervall. Hier wird nichts live berechnet - jede Zeile hat die Mehrfachvergleichsprüfung der Research-Pipeline bereits bestanden (Bonferroni-Korrektur über Sektoren, Clusterchecks bei korrelierten Märkten). Siehe Methodik dafür. Umfasst 51 Symbole (ETFs, Megacaps und High-Beta-Namen).
Gemessene Odds. Keine Trade-Calls. was das bedeutet →
Passende Befunde
Top 20 Findings nach |delta| für SPY, passend zum Anzeige-Filter.
| wenn / dann | Call | Bewertung | Rate vs. Basis | Delta | 95% KI | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low | YES 88,3% | S | 88,3% vs. 43,0% | +45,3 pp | [82,3%, 92,5%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high | YES 87,9% | S | 87,9% vs. 58,6% | +29,4 pp | [83,6%, 91,2%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET | NO 83,0% | A | 17,0% vs. 36,6% | -19,6 pp | [13,1%, 21,8%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high | NO 81,8% | A | 18,2% vs. 58,6% | -40,4 pp | [12,9%, 25,0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET | NO 81,8% | A | 18,2% vs. 53,2% | -35,0 pp | [12,9%, 25,0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET | NO 81,8% | A | 18,2% vs. 49,3% | -31,1 pp | [12,9%, 25,0%] | 154 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET | NO 81,6% | A | 18,4% vs. 40,0% | -21,6 pp | [14,3%, 23,4%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low | NO 81,2% | A | 18,8% vs. 43,0% | -24,2 pp | [14,7%, 23,8%] | 282 |
| today's open sits in the bottom third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET | YES 79,9% | B | 79,9% vs. 40,0% | +39,9 pp | [72,8%, 85,4%] | 154 |
| the day opens with a gap up → price breaks yesterday's high | YES 78,5% | B | 78,5% vs. 58,6% | +19,9 pp | [73,3%, 82,9%] | 279 |
| the day opens with a gap up → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET | NO 78,1% | B | 21,9% vs. 36,6% | -14,7 pp | [17,4%, 27,1%] | 279 |
| today's open sits in the top third of yesterday's range → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 10:30am ET | YES 78,0% | B | 78,0% vs. 53,2% | +24,8 pp | [72,8%, 82,5%] | 282 |
| yesterday's range was wide vs. its own ATR band → today's range is wider than yesterday's range | NO 77,2% | B | 22,8% vs. 48,9% | -26,1 pp | [16,5%, 30,5%] | 136 |
385 weitere Findings für SPY liegen unter der Anzeigeschwelle (|delta| < 8pp oder n < 120) und sind ausgeblendet.
KI-Methode: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held (ci_lo_held/ci_hi_held columns, unchanged). Quelle: stock_conditional_tables;2026-09-30.