Senaryo Bulucu

Bir piyasa seçin, sonra bugün gerçekte ne olduğunu işaretleyin — bir gap up, Asya'nın dünkü zirveyi süpürmesi ve benzeri. Eşleşen her ön-doğrulanmış bulguyu, baz oranına göre ölçülmüş oranı, örneklem büyüklüğü ve güven aralığı ile gösteriyoruz. Burada hiçbir şey anlık hesaplanmaz — her satır, araştırma hattının çoklu karşılaştırma doğrulamasından (sektörler arası Bonferroni düzeltmesi, korelasyonlu küme kontrolleri) zaten geçti. Bakın metodoloji nasıl çalıştığını görmek için.

Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →

Piyasa

Bugün ne oldu?

Her koşul için bir değer seçin — ya da yok saymak için "seçilmedi" bırakın.

Eşleşen bulgular

Eşleşen bulguları görmek için yukarıda en az bir koşul seçin.

Koşula göre filtreleme JavaScript gerektirir. Aşağıda: ES için ölçülen etki büyüklüğüne göre en iyi 20 bulgu, filtresiz.

eğer / ise	oran / baz	fark	95% GA	n	rozet
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	93,2% / 37,2%	+56,0 pp	[88,5%, 96,1%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	84,1% / 32,5%	+51,5 pp	[77,6%, 89,0%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	84,1% / 32,5%	+51,5 pp	[77,6%, 89,0%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	85,4% / 34,8%	+50,5 pp	[79,0%, 90,0%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	84,7% / 34,8%	+49,8 pp	[78,7%, 89,3%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	81,9% / 32,5%	+49,3 pp	[75,6%, 86,9%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	86,3% / 37,2%	+49,0 pp	[80,5%, 90,5%]	181	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
London trades below the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	85,3% / 37,2%	+48,0 pp	[79,3%, 89,8%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	79,3% / 32,5%	+46,7 pp	[72,4%, 84,8%]	164	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	90,0% / 43,6%	+46,5 pp	[85,8%, 93,0%]	266	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the market breaks above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	90,3% / 43,6%	+46,5 pp	[85,7%, 93,5%]	224	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	78,6% / 32,5%	+45,9 pp	[72,0%, 83,9%]	181	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the market does not break above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	78,5% / 32,5%	+45,9 pp	[71,9%, 84,0%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	96,5% / 50,7%	+45,7 pp	[93,7%, 98,1%]	281	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	80,5% / 34,8%	+45,6 pp	[73,8%, 85,8%]	164	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	80,2% / 34,8%	+45,3 pp	[73,8%, 85,4%]	181	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	95,5% / 50,7%	+44,6 pp	[92,5%, 97,3%]	304	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	94,7% / 50,7%	+44,3 pp	[91,1%, 96,9%]	242	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the Asia session already traded below yesterday's low AND the rates sector average (ZB/ZN/ZF/ZT) opens higher vs. its prior session → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	— / 37,2%	+44,1 pp	—	193	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	94,0% / 50,7%	+43,5 pp	[90,1%, 96,4%]	227	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)

CI yöntemi: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held. Kaynak: verified_findings.parquet;2026-08-18.