Ricerca scenari

Scegli un mercato, poi spunta ciò che è davvero successo oggi — gap up, l'Asia che ha superato il massimo di ieri, e così via. Mostriamo ogni risultato pre-verificato che corrisponde, con il suo tasso misurato rispetto al tasso base, la dimensione del campione e l'intervallo di confidenza. Qui nulla viene calcolato al volo — ogni riga ha già superato la verifica dei confronti multipli del pipeline di ricerca (correzione di Bonferroni tra settori, controlli sui cluster correlati). Vedi metodologia su come funziona.

Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →

Mercato

Cosa è successo oggi?

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Risultati corrispondenti

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Il filtro per condizione richiede JavaScript. Sotto: i primi 20 risultati per effetto misurato per ES, non filtrati.

se / allora	tasso vs. base	scarto	IC 95%	n	etichetta
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	93,2% rispetto a 37,2%	+56,0 pp	[88,5%, 96,1%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	84,1% rispetto a 32,5%	+51,5 pp	[77,6%, 89,0%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	84,1% rispetto a 32,5%	+51,5 pp	[77,6%, 89,0%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	85,4% rispetto a 34,8%	+50,5 pp	[79,0%, 90,0%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	84,7% rispetto a 34,8%	+49,8 pp	[78,7%, 89,3%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	81,9% rispetto a 32,5%	+49,3 pp	[75,6%, 86,9%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	86,3% rispetto a 37,2%	+49,0 pp	[80,5%, 90,5%]	181	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
London trades below the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	85,3% rispetto a 37,2%	+48,0 pp	[79,3%, 89,8%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	79,3% rispetto a 32,5%	+46,7 pp	[72,4%, 84,8%]	164	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	90,0% rispetto a 43,6%	+46,5 pp	[85,8%, 93,0%]	266	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the market breaks above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	90,3% rispetto a 43,6%	+46,5 pp	[85,7%, 93,5%]	224	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	78,6% rispetto a 32,5%	+45,9 pp	[72,0%, 83,9%]	181	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the market does not break above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	78,5% rispetto a 32,5%	+45,9 pp	[71,9%, 84,0%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	96,5% rispetto a 50,7%	+45,7 pp	[93,7%, 98,1%]	281	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	80,5% rispetto a 34,8%	+45,6 pp	[73,8%, 85,8%]	164	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	80,2% rispetto a 34,8%	+45,3 pp	[73,8%, 85,4%]	181	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	95,5% rispetto a 50,7%	+44,6 pp	[92,5%, 97,3%]	304	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	94,7% rispetto a 50,7%	+44,3 pp	[91,1%, 96,9%]	242	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the Asia session already traded below yesterday's low AND the rates sector average (ZB/ZN/ZF/ZT) opens higher vs. its prior session → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	— rispetto a 37,2%	+44,1 pp	—	193	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	94,0% rispetto a 50,7%	+43,5 pp	[90,1%, 96,4%]	227	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)

Metodo IC: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held. Fonte: verified_findings.parquet;2026-08-18.