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Elige un mercado y luego marca lo que realmente pasó hoy — un gap up, Asia barriendo el máximo de ayer, y así. Mostramos cada hallazgo preverificado que coincide, con su tasa medida frente a la base, tamaño de muestra e intervalo de confianza. Nada aquí se calcula al vuelo — cada fila ya superó la verificación de comparaciones múltiples del pipeline de investigación (corrección de Bonferroni entre sectores, controles de clúster correlacionado). Consulta metodología para ver cómo funciona.

Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →

Mercado

¿Qué pasó hoy?

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Hallazgos coincidentes

Selecciona al menos una condición arriba para ver los hallazgos coincidentes.

Filtrar por condición requiere JavaScript. Abajo: los 20 hallazgos principales por tamaño de efecto medido para ES, sin filtrar.

si / entonces	tasa vs. base	delta	IC 95%	n	insignia
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	93,2% vs. 37,2%	+56,0 pp	[88,5%, 96,1%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	84,1% vs. 32,5%	+51,5 pp	[77,6%, 89,0%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	84,1% vs. 32,5%	+51,5 pp	[77,6%, 89,0%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	85,4% vs. 34,8%	+50,5 pp	[79,0%, 90,0%]	157	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	84,7% vs. 34,8%	+49,8 pp	[78,7%, 89,3%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	81,9% vs. 32,5%	+49,3 pp	[75,6%, 86,9%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	86,3% vs. 37,2%	+49,0 pp	[80,5%, 90,5%]	181	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
London trades below the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	85,3% vs. 37,2%	+48,0 pp	[79,3%, 89,8%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	79,3% vs. 32,5%	+46,7 pp	[72,4%, 84,8%]	164	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	90,0% vs. 43,6%	+46,5 pp	[85,8%, 93,0%]	266	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the market breaks above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	90,3% vs. 43,6%	+46,5 pp	[85,7%, 93,5%]	224	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	78,6% vs. 32,5%	+45,9 pp	[72,0%, 83,9%]	181	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the market does not break above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	78,5% vs. 32,5%	+45,9 pp	[71,9%, 84,0%]	176	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	96,5% vs. 50,7%	+45,7 pp	[93,7%, 98,1%]	281	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	80,5% vs. 34,8%	+45,6 pp	[73,8%, 85,8%]	164	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	80,2% vs. 34,8%	+45,3 pp	[73,8%, 85,4%]	181	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	95,5% vs. 50,7%	+44,6 pp	[92,5%, 97,3%]	304	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	94,7% vs. 50,7%	+44,3 pp	[91,1%, 96,9%]	242	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the Asia session already traded below yesterday's low AND the rates sector average (ZB/ZN/ZF/ZT) opens higher vs. its prior session → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	— vs. 37,2%	+44,1 pp	—	193	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	94,0% vs. 50,7%	+43,5 pp	[90,1%, 96,4%]	227	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)

Método del IC: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held. Fuente: verified_findings.parquet;2026-08-18.