محدد السيناريوهات

اختر سوقًا، ثم حدّد ما حدث اليوم فعلًا — فجوة صاعدة، اختراق جلسة آسيا لقمة أمس، وما إلى ذلك. نعرض كل نتيجة موثقة مسبقًا تطابق ذلك، مع معدلها المقاس مقابل المعدل الأساسي، وحجم العينة، وفاصل الثقة. لا يُحسب هنا شيء لحظيًا — كل صف اجتاز مسبقًا تحقق المقارنات المتعددة في خط البحث (تصحيح Bonferroni عبر القطاعات، وفحوصات المجموعات المترابطة). راجع المنهجية لشرح ذلك.

Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →

السوق

ما الذي حدث اليوم؟

اختر قيمة واحدة لكل شرط — أو اتركها على "غير محدد" لتجاهله.

النتائج المطابقة

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الترشيح حسب الشرط يحتاج JavaScript. أدناه: أفضل ٢٠ نتائج حسب حجم الأثر المقاس لـ ES، من دون ترشيح.

إذا / إذن	المعدل مقابل الأساس	الفارق	فاصل ثقة 95%	n	شارة
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	٩٣٫٢% مقابل ٣٧٫٢%	+٥٦٫٠ pp	[٨٨٫٥%, ٩٦٫١%]	١٧٦	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	٨٤٫١% مقابل ٣٢٫٥%	+٥١٫٥ pp	[٧٧٫٦%, ٨٩٫٠%]	١٥٧	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	٨٤٫١% مقابل ٣٢٫٥%	+٥١٫٥ pp	[٧٧٫٦%, ٨٩٫٠%]	١٥٧	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the 9:00-10:30am candle closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	٨٥٫٤% مقابل ٣٤٫٨%	+٥٠٫٥ pp	[٧٩٫٠%, ٩٠٫٠%]	١٥٧	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	٨٤٫٧% مقابل ٣٤٫٨%	+٤٩٫٨ pp	[٧٨٫٧%, ٨٩٫٣%]	١٧٦	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap down AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	٨١٫٩% مقابل ٣٢٫٥%	+٤٩٫٣ pp	[٧٥٫٦%, ٨٦٫٩%]	١٧٦	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	٨٦٫٣% مقابل ٣٧٫٢%	+٤٩٫٠ pp	[٨٠٫٥%, ٩٠٫٥%]	١٨١	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
London trades below the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	٨٥٫٣% مقابل ٣٧٫٢%	+٤٨٫٠ pp	[٧٩٫٣%, ٨٩٫٨%]	١٧٦	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	٧٩٫٣% مقابل ٣٢٫٥%	+٤٦٫٧ pp	[٧٢٫٤%, ٨٤٫٨%]	١٦٤	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the morning session (9:30am-noon) closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	٩٠٫٠% مقابل ٤٣٫٦%	+٤٦٫٥ pp	[٨٥٫٨%, ٩٣٫٠%]	٢٦٦	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the market breaks above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after noon ET	٩٠٫٣% مقابل ٤٣٫٦%	+٤٦٫٥ pp	[٨٥٫٧%, ٩٣٫٥%]	٢٢٤	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	٧٨٫٦% مقابل ٣٢٫٥%	+٤٥٫٩ pp	[٧٢٫٠%, ٨٣٫٩%]	١٨١	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the market does not break above the 9:00-10:30am candle's high by midday AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after noon ET	٧٨٫٥% مقابل ٣٢٫٥%	+٤٥٫٩ pp	[٧١٫٩%, ٨٤٫٠%]	١٧٦	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the day opens with a gap up AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	٩٦٫٥% مقابل ٥٠٫٧%	+٤٥٫٧ pp	[٩٣٫٧%, ٩٨٫١%]	٢٨١	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the first hour of trading closes lower AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	٨٠٫٥% مقابل ٣٤٫٨%	+٤٥٫٦ pp	[٧٣٫٨%, ٨٥٫٨%]	١٦٤	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's low → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 10:30am ET	٨٠٫٢% مقابل ٣٤٫٨%	+٤٥٫٣ pp	[٧٣٫٨%, ٨٥٫٤%]	١٨١	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the open shows no pullback into yesterday's move AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	٩٥٫٥% مقابل ٥٠٫٧%	+٤٤٫٦ pp	[٩٢٫٥%, ٩٧٫٣%]	٣٠٤	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the London session closes higher AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	٩٤٫٧% مقابل ٥٠٫٧%	+٤٤٫٣ pp	[٩١٫١%, ٩٦٫٩%]	٢٤٢	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
the Asia session already traded below yesterday's low AND the rates sector average (ZB/ZN/ZF/ZT) opens higher vs. its prior session → price breaks yesterday's low sometime after 9:30am ET	— مقابل ٣٧٫٢%	+٤٤٫١ pp	—	١٩٣	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)
London stays above the Asia session's low AND an Asian peer market already took yesterday's high → price breaks yesterday's high sometime after 9:30am ET	٩٤٫٠% مقابل ٥٠٫٧%	+٤٣٫٥ pp	[٩٠٫١%, ٩٦٫٤%]	٢٢٧	CROSS-CLUSTER (correlated markets)

طريقة CI: wilson score interval, 95%, computed on rate_held/n_held. المصدر: verified_findings.parquet;2026-08-18.