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Australian Dollar futures (6A)

MODEL FROZEN ✓

no cached quote yet — the 15-minute cron hasn't populated KV for this symbol

Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →

FOXALGO / 6A CANDLESTICK
TRACKING15m DELAYED MARKET DATALAST 0.7002000212669373

6A · CURRENT SESSION · 15m

View as table
levelpriceP(touch)status
today's range so far
—
not yet cached
position in today's range
—
0% = today's low so far, 100% = today's high so far — descriptive, not a signal
change from open
—
—

Live hit rate — 6A

Live hit rate
96%
n = 92
95% confidence interval
89–98%
Wilson interval
All six markets
96%
n = 92
Vs. all markets
+0.0 pp
6A minus the combined rate, in percentage points
2026-09-30: 22 resolved2026-10-01: 12 resolved2026-10-02: 1 resolved2026-10-06: 6 resolved2026-10-07: 2 resolved2026-10-08: 1 resolved2026-10-09: 4 resolved2026-10-11: 3 resolved2026-10-12: 5 resolved2026-10-13: 6 resolved2026-10-14: 25 resolved
506070809010025
Sep 30Oct 02Oct 07Oct 09Oct 12Oct 14
6AAll six markets (dashed)

By tier

TierHitnHit %
S778096.3%
A111291.7%
B00—

See all markets →

Range state now

Where this market's operating range stands on each timeframe. A description, not a call.

AUD/USD
5 up, 0 down
As of 2026-10-14 06:15 ET (last closed bar, feed delayed about 15 minutes)
TFDirectionHighMidLowSize (ATR)PositionAge (bars)Before
15m▲0.70050.70030.70011.387%7
30m▲0.70050.70020.69991.577%3
1h▲0.70050.70030.70000.867%0
2h▲0.70050.70020.69990.977%0
4h▲0.70050.69980.69911.290%0

See the range state of every market

Historical backfill, year by year

This is a rules-based backfill, not the live record — see /record for every market.

50607080901002011 stated: 83.4%2011 actual: 86.0% (+2.7 pp) -- n = 2,90720112012 stated: 84.5%2012 actual: 87.6% (+3.1 pp) -- n = 2,52220122013 stated: 84.6%2013 actual: 85.3% (+0.7 pp) -- n = 2,31520132014 stated: 84.5%2014 actual: 84.2% (-0.4 pp) -- n = 2,05520142015 stated: 84.5%2015 actual: 88.0% (+3.5 pp) -- n = 2,29120152016 stated: 84.4%2016 actual: 87.0% (+2.5 pp) -- n = 2,93520162017 stated: 84.7%2017 actual: 86.2% (+1.6 pp) -- n = 2,71720172018 stated: 84.5%2018 actual: 87.1% (+2.6 pp) -- n = 3,35220182019 stated: 85.5%2019 actual: 81.8% (-3.7 pp) -- n = 3,85420192020 stated: 85.5%2020 actual: 88.2% (+2.7 pp) -- n = 3,19720202021 stated: 85.2%2021 actual: 90.6% (+5.4 pp) -- n = 3,78520212022 stated: 85.8%2022 actual: 88.5% (+2.7 pp) -- n = 4,47120222023 stated: 86.2%2023 actual: 88.8% (+2.6 pp) -- n = 4,07120232024 stated: 86.1%2024 actual: 89.7% (+3.6 pp) -- n = 4,00520242025 stated: 86.5%2025 actual: 89.3% (+2.8 pp) -- n = 3,93020252026 stated: 86.5%2026 actual: 89.6% (+3.1 pp) -- n = 2,6682026

6A: 87.5% actual vs. 85.3% stated (+2.3 pp) across 51,075 calls

See every market on /record →

What's happening now

Regime of the day

not yet measured — need today's cached high/low, ATR and width-bounds data

Next hour

not yet measured for this symbol's scope

Touch ladder

Levels at ±0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR from the last quote, with p(touch within next 615m).

FOXALGO / 6A INSTRUMENT 01

6A · P(touch within next 615m)

0%25%50%75%100%0.250.50.7511.5distance from current price (ATR multiples)
distance (ATR)up levelP(touch within next 615m) updown levelP(touch within next 615m) downn
0.25—55.0%—54.4%8,522
0.5—25.8%—26.3%8,522
0.75—11.3%—12.1%8,522
1—5.3%—5.2%8,522
1.5—1.2%—1.3%8,522

Brackets

Not yet measured for FX brackets — the first-hit grid is futures-only.

Track record — wins & losses

Calibration for Australian Dollar futures

FX futures

not yet measured

Per-sector breakdown, not per-symbol — the source data does not carry a per-symbol (e.g. ES vs NQ, or AAPL vs MSFT) calibration split, only per-sector/scope. 20-point-percentage bins (coarser than the 10pp futures/fx/stocks breakdown above) to keep per-sector cells sampled. Stocks: historical period 2020-2026, these 12 names selected ex-post (survivorship) — calibration applies to these names, not a random stock.

Recent wins & losses (backtested reconstruction)

Backtested reconstruction from historical daily bars — NOT frozen predictions. The frozen live record starts at launch (see below). Shown chronologically, wins and losses both — no cherry-picking.

datelevel (open + 0.5 ATR)P(touch)result
2026-09-300.700825.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-010.696325.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-020.694425.8%touched ✓
2026-10-050.696825.8%touched ✓
2026-10-060.699625.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-070.700125.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-080.696325.8%touched ✓
2026-10-090.699125.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-120.699325.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-130.696825.8%touched ✓

Live frozen record

Not tracked yet — the frozen live prediction record currently runs for the 6 futures markets only. See scorecard for the full picture as it grows.

See all verified findings →