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Canadian Dollar futures (6C)

MODEL FROZEN ✓

no cached quote yet — the 15-minute cron hasn't populated KV for this symbol

Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →

FOXALGO / 6C CANDLESTICK
TRACKING15m DELAYED MARKET DATALAST 0.7059500217437744

6C · CURRENT SESSION · 15m

View as table
levelpriceP(touch)status
today's range so far
—
not yet cached
position in today's range
—
0% = today's low so far, 100% = today's high so far — descriptive, not a signal
change from open
—
—

Live hit rate — 6C

Live hit rate
89%
n = 113
95% confidence interval
82–94%
Wilson interval
All six markets
89%
n = 113
Vs. all markets
+0.0 pp
6C minus the combined rate, in percentage points
2026-09-30: 33 resolved2026-10-01: 20 resolved2026-10-02: 9 resolved2026-10-04: 8 resolved2026-10-05: 7 resolved2026-10-06: 7 resolved2026-10-07: 1 resolved2026-10-08: 2 resolved2026-10-09: 1 resolved2026-10-12: 1 resolved2026-10-13: 6 resolved2026-10-14: 15 resolved
506070809010033
Sep 30Oct 02Oct 05Oct 08Oct 12Oct 14
6CAll six markets (dashed)

By tier

TierHitnHit %
S708186.4%
A2929100.0%
B2366.7%

See all markets →

Range state now

Where this market's operating range stands on each timeframe. A description, not a call.

CAD/USD
3 up, 2 down
As of 2026-10-14 06:15 ET (last closed bar, feed delayed about 15 minutes)
TFDirectionHighMidLowSize (ATR)PositionAge (bars)Before
15m▲0.70580.70570.70561.075%1
30m▼0.70580.70570.70560.667%2
1h▼0.70600.70580.70560.950%1
2h▲0.70640.70590.70541.637%4
4h▲0.70640.70590.70531.040%2

See the range state of every market

Historical backfill, year by year

This is a rules-based backfill, not the live record — see /record for every market.

50607080901002011 stated: 83.6%2011 actual: 83.9% (+0.3 pp) -- n = 3,35620112012 stated: 84.2%2012 actual: 84.6% (+0.5 pp) -- n = 2,79620122013 stated: 83.8%2013 actual: 82.3% (-1.5 pp) -- n = 2,98420132014 stated: 83.9%2014 actual: 81.2% (-2.7 pp) -- n = 3,09820142015 stated: 84.1%2015 actual: 85.1% (+1.0 pp) -- n = 2,96620152016 stated: 84.5%2016 actual: 87.8% (+3.3 pp) -- n = 3,29020162017 stated: 84.5%2017 actual: 88.5% (+4.0 pp) -- n = 3,42220172018 stated: 85.0%2018 actual: 89.0% (+4.1 pp) -- n = 3,43920182019 stated: 85.1%2019 actual: 87.1% (+2.0 pp) -- n = 3,75020192020 stated: 84.7%2020 actual: 87.7% (+3.0 pp) -- n = 3,57220202021 stated: 85.1%2021 actual: 90.3% (+5.2 pp) -- n = 4,13420212022 stated: 85.8%2022 actual: 87.8% (+2.0 pp) -- n = 4,85520222023 stated: 86.0%2023 actual: 88.8% (+2.8 pp) -- n = 4,79320232024 stated: 86.0%2024 actual: 86.8% (+0.8 pp) -- n = 4,18420242025 stated: 86.7%2025 actual: 86.6% (-0.1 pp) -- n = 4,05620252026 stated: 86.9%2026 actual: 87.0% (+0.1 pp) -- n = 3,4332026

6C: 86.8% actual vs. 85.1% stated (+1.7 pp) across 58,128 calls

See every market on /record →

What's happening now

Regime of the day

not yet measured — need today's cached high/low, ATR and width-bounds data

Next hour

not yet measured for this symbol's scope

Touch ladder

Levels at ±0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR from the last quote, with p(touch within next 615m).

FOXALGO / 6C INSTRUMENT 01

6C · P(touch within next 615m)

0%25%50%75%100%0.250.50.7511.5distance from current price (ATR multiples)
distance (ATR)up levelP(touch within next 615m) updown levelP(touch within next 615m) downn
0.25—55.0%—54.4%8,522
0.5—25.8%—26.3%8,522
0.75—11.3%—12.1%8,522
1—5.3%—5.2%8,522
1.5—1.2%—1.3%8,522

Brackets

Not yet measured for FX brackets — the first-hit grid is futures-only.

Track record — wins & losses

Calibration for Canadian Dollar futures

FX futures

not yet measured

Per-sector breakdown, not per-symbol — the source data does not carry a per-symbol (e.g. ES vs NQ, or AAPL vs MSFT) calibration split, only per-sector/scope. 20-point-percentage bins (coarser than the 10pp futures/fx/stocks breakdown above) to keep per-sector cells sampled. Stocks: historical period 2020-2026, these 12 names selected ex-post (survivorship) — calibration applies to these names, not a random stock.

Recent wins & losses (backtested reconstruction)

Backtested reconstruction from historical daily bars — NOT frozen predictions. The frozen live record starts at launch (see below). Shown chronologically, wins and losses both — no cherry-picking.

datelevel (open + 0.5 ATR)P(touch)result
2026-09-300.707225.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-010.703625.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-020.704725.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-050.701625.8%touched ✓
2026-10-060.703225.8%touched ✓
2026-10-070.705225.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-080.703325.8%touched ✓
2026-10-090.704125.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-120.702425.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-130.702125.8%touched ✓

Live frozen record

Not tracked yet — the frozen live prediction record currently runs for the 6 futures markets only. See scorecard for the full picture as it grows.

See all verified findings →