foxalgoDow Jones ETF (DIA) (DIA)
no cached quote yet — the 15-minute cron hasn't populated KV for this symbol
Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →
Historical period 2020-2026, these 12 names selected ex-post (survivorship) — calibration applies to these names, not a random stock. Live frozen scorecard accumulates from launch.
DIA · CURRENT SESSION · 15m
View as table
| level | price | P(touch) | status |
|---|
Live hit rate — DIA
collecting data
By tier
| Tier | Hit | n | Hit % |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 14 | 14 | 100.0% |
| A | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| B | 0 | 0 | — |
Range state now
Where this market's operating range stands on each timeframe. A description, not a call.
| TF | Direction | High | Mid | Low | Size (ATR) | Position | Age (bars) | Before |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15m | ▼ | 516.68 | 516.29 | 515.90 | 1.4 | 33% | 0 | |
| 30m | ▼ | 516.86 | 516.38 | 515.90 | 1.0 | 27% | 0 | |
| 1h | ▼ | 517.09 | 516.51 | 515.92 | 0.9 | 21% | 4 | |
| 2h | ▼ | 517.09 | 516.35 | 515.61 | 0.8 | 37% | 2 | |
| 4h | ▼ | 522.80 | 519.21 | 515.61 | 2.5 | 8% | 1 |
See the range state of every market
Historical backfill, year by year
This is a rules-based backfill, not the live record — see /record for every market.
DIA: 87.8% actual vs. 88.4% stated (-0.6 pp) across 36,594 calls
What's happening now
Regime of the day
day-width regime: not yet measured for stocks — no first-hit grid exists yet, so width_bounds.json has no tercile boundaries to compare against.
Next hour
not yet measured for this symbol's scope
Touch ladder
Levels at ±0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR from the last quote, with p(touch by close 16:00 et).
DIA · P(touch by close 16:00 ET)
| distance (ATR) | up level | P(touch by close 16:00 ET) up | down level | P(touch by close 16:00 ET) down | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | — | not yet measured | — | not yet measured | — |
| 0.5 | — | not yet measured | — | not yet measured | — |
| 0.75 | — | not yet measured | — | not yet measured | — |
| 1 | — | not yet measured | — | not yet measured | — |
| 1.5 | — | not yet measured | — | not yet measured | — |
Brackets
Not measured for stocks — the first-hit grid (brackets.json) is futures-only.
Track record — wins & losses
Calibration for Dow Jones ETF (DIA)
setups-only stocks
not yet measured
Per-sector breakdown, not per-symbol — the source data does not carry a per-symbol (e.g. ES vs NQ, or AAPL vs MSFT) calibration split, only per-sector/scope. 20-point-percentage bins (coarser than the 10pp futures/fx/stocks breakdown above) to keep per-sector cells sampled. Stocks: historical period 2020-2026, these 12 names selected ex-post (survivorship) — calibration applies to these names, not a random stock.
Recent wins & losses (backtested reconstruction)
Backtested reconstruction from historical daily bars — NOT frozen predictions. The frozen live record starts at launch (see below). Shown chronologically, wins and losses both — no cherry-picking.
| date | level (open + 0.5 ATR) | P(touch) | result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | 516.38 | not yet measured | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-09-30 | 516.54 | not yet measured | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-01 | 511.98 | not yet measured | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-02 | 515.13 | not yet measured | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-05 | 512.99 | not yet measured | touched ✓ |
| 2026-10-06 | 516.95 | not yet measured | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-07 | 512.88 | not yet measured | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-08 | 511.44 | not yet measured | touched ✓ |
| 2026-10-09 | 514.18 | not yet measured | touched ✓ |
| 2026-10-12 | 518.84 | not yet measured | not touched ✗ |
Live frozen record
Not tracked yet — the frozen live prediction record currently runs for the 6 futures markets only. See scorecard for the full picture as it grows.