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New Zealand Dollar futures (6N)

MODEL FROZEN ✓

no cached quote yet — the 15-minute cron hasn't populated KV for this symbol

Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →

FOXALGO / 6N CANDLESTICK
TRACKING15m DELAYED MARKET DATALAST 0.562749981880188

6N · CURRENT SESSION · 15m

View as table
levelpriceP(touch)status
today's range so far
—
not yet cached
position in today's range
—
0% = today's low so far, 100% = today's high so far — descriptive, not a signal
change from open
—
—

Live hit rate — 6N

Live hit rate
87%
n = 63
95% confidence interval
77–93%
Wilson interval
All six markets
87%
n = 63
Vs. all markets
+0.0 pp
6N minus the combined rate, in percentage points
2026-10-01: 18 resolved2026-10-05: 7 resolved2026-10-06: 2 resolved2026-10-08: 1 resolved2026-10-09: 4 resolved2026-10-12: 16 resolved2026-10-13: 2 resolved2026-10-14: 9 resolved
506070809010018
Oct 01Oct 05Oct 08Oct 09Oct 13Oct 14
6NAll six markets (dashed)

By tier

TierHitnHit %
S515887.9%
A4580.0%
B00—

See all markets →

Range state now

Where this market's operating range stands on each timeframe. A description, not a call.

NZD/USD
2 up, 3 down
As of 2026-10-14 06:15 ET (last closed bar, feed delayed about 15 minutes)
TFDirectionHighMidLowSize (ATR)PositionAge (bars)Before
15m▼0.56300.56290.56281.120%5
30m▼0.56320.56300.56281.113%2
1h▼0.56330.56300.56280.911%1
2h▲0.56370.56300.56231.941%4
4h▲0.56370.56280.56201.550%2

See the range state of every market

Historical backfill, year by year

This is a rules-based backfill, not the live record — see /record for every market.

50607080901002011 stated: 83.2%2011 actual: 76.6% (-6.6 pp) -- n = 3,40320112012 stated: 84.2%2012 actual: 79.9% (-4.4 pp) -- n = 3,20820122013 stated: 84.2%2013 actual: 80.9% (-3.3 pp) -- n = 2,59120132014 stated: 83.9%2014 actual: 79.9% (-4.0 pp) -- n = 2,49120142015 stated: 84.2%2015 actual: 83.5% (-0.7 pp) -- n = 2,56120152016 stated: 84.4%2016 actual: 84.4% (-0.1 pp) -- n = 3,00220162017 stated: 84.5%2017 actual: 82.9% (-1.6 pp) -- n = 3,17620172018 stated: 84.5%2018 actual: 83.3% (-1.3 pp) -- n = 4,18820182019 stated: 85.5%2019 actual: 81.6% (-3.8 pp) -- n = 4,16320192020 stated: 85.3%2020 actual: 85.7% (+0.4 pp) -- n = 3,75220202021 stated: 85.5%2021 actual: 86.3% (+0.9 pp) -- n = 4,12920212022 stated: 85.7%2022 actual: 87.7% (+2.0 pp) -- n = 4,56920222023 stated: 85.9%2023 actual: 87.4% (+1.5 pp) -- n = 4,31720232024 stated: 86.0%2024 actual: 88.2% (+2.2 pp) -- n = 4,43720242025 stated: 86.3%2025 actual: 87.3% (+1.0 pp) -- n = 4,32120252026 stated: 86.4%2026 actual: 88.4% (+2.0 pp) -- n = 3,2522026

6N: 84.4% actual vs. 85.1% stated (-0.7 pp) across 57,560 calls

See every market on /record →

What's happening now

Regime of the day

not yet measured — need today's cached high/low, ATR and width-bounds data

Next hour

not yet measured for this symbol's scope

Touch ladder

Levels at ±0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR from the last quote, with p(touch within next 615m).

FOXALGO / 6N INSTRUMENT 01

6N · P(touch within next 615m)

0%25%50%75%100%0.250.50.7511.5distance from current price (ATR multiples)
distance (ATR)up levelP(touch within next 615m) updown levelP(touch within next 615m) downn
0.25—55.0%—54.4%8,522
0.5—25.8%—26.3%8,522
0.75—11.3%—12.1%8,522
1—5.3%—5.2%8,522
1.5—1.2%—1.3%8,522

Brackets

Not yet measured for FX brackets — the first-hit grid is futures-only.

Track record — wins & losses

Calibration for New Zealand Dollar futures

FX futures

not yet measured

Per-sector breakdown, not per-symbol — the source data does not carry a per-symbol (e.g. ES vs NQ, or AAPL vs MSFT) calibration split, only per-sector/scope. 20-point-percentage bins (coarser than the 10pp futures/fx/stocks breakdown above) to keep per-sector cells sampled. Stocks: historical period 2020-2026, these 12 names selected ex-post (survivorship) — calibration applies to these names, not a random stock.

Recent wins & losses (backtested reconstruction)

Backtested reconstruction from historical daily bars — NOT frozen predictions. The frozen live record starts at launch (see below). Shown chronologically, wins and losses both — no cherry-picking.

datelevel (open + 0.5 ATR)P(touch)result
2026-09-300.567825.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-010.566725.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-020.564025.8%touched ✓
2026-10-050.565025.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-060.563625.8%touched ✓
2026-10-070.565725.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-080.563425.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-090.563325.8%touched ✓
2026-10-120.564125.8%not touched ✗
2026-10-130.562225.8%touched ✓

Live frozen record

Not tracked yet — the frozen live prediction record currently runs for the 6 futures markets only. See scorecard for the full picture as it grows.

See all verified findings →