New Zealand Dollar futures (6N)
no cached quote yet — the 15-minute cron hasn't populated KV for this symbol
Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →
6N · CURRENT SESSION · 15m
View as table
| level | price | P(touch) | status |
|---|
Live hit rate — 6N
By tier
| Tier | Hit | n | Hit % |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 51 | 58 | 87.9% |
| A | 4 | 5 | 80.0% |
| B | 0 | 0 | — |
Range state now
Where this market's operating range stands on each timeframe. A description, not a call.
| TF | Direction | High | Mid | Low | Size (ATR) | Position | Age (bars) | Before |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15m | ▼ | 0.5630 | 0.5629 | 0.5628 | 1.1 | 20% | 5 | |
| 30m | ▼ | 0.5632 | 0.5630 | 0.5628 | 1.1 | 13% | 2 | |
| 1h | ▼ | 0.5633 | 0.5630 | 0.5628 | 0.9 | 11% | 1 | |
| 2h | ▲ | 0.5637 | 0.5630 | 0.5623 | 1.9 | 41% | 4 | |
| 4h | ▲ | 0.5637 | 0.5628 | 0.5620 | 1.5 | 50% | 2 |
See the range state of every market
Historical backfill, year by year
This is a rules-based backfill, not the live record — see /record for every market.
6N: 84.4% actual vs. 85.1% stated (-0.7 pp) across 57,560 calls
What's happening now
Regime of the day
not yet measured — need today's cached high/low, ATR and width-bounds data
Next hour
not yet measured for this symbol's scope
Touch ladder
Levels at ±0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR from the last quote, with p(touch within next 615m).
6N · P(touch within next 615m)
| distance (ATR) | up level | P(touch within next 615m) up | down level | P(touch within next 615m) down | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | — | 55.0% | — | 54.4% | 8,522 |
| 0.5 | — | 25.8% | — | 26.3% | 8,522 |
| 0.75 | — | 11.3% | — | 12.1% | 8,522 |
| 1 | — | 5.3% | — | 5.2% | 8,522 |
| 1.5 | — | 1.2% | — | 1.3% | 8,522 |
Brackets
Not yet measured for FX brackets — the first-hit grid is futures-only.
Track record — wins & losses
Calibration for New Zealand Dollar futures
FX futures
not yet measured
Per-sector breakdown, not per-symbol — the source data does not carry a per-symbol (e.g. ES vs NQ, or AAPL vs MSFT) calibration split, only per-sector/scope. 20-point-percentage bins (coarser than the 10pp futures/fx/stocks breakdown above) to keep per-sector cells sampled. Stocks: historical period 2020-2026, these 12 names selected ex-post (survivorship) — calibration applies to these names, not a random stock.
Recent wins & losses (backtested reconstruction)
Backtested reconstruction from historical daily bars — NOT frozen predictions. The frozen live record starts at launch (see below). Shown chronologically, wins and losses both — no cherry-picking.
| date | level (open + 0.5 ATR) | P(touch) | result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 0.5678 | 25.8% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-01 | 0.5667 | 25.8% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-02 | 0.5640 | 25.8% | touched ✓ |
| 2026-10-05 | 0.5650 | 25.8% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-06 | 0.5636 | 25.8% | touched ✓ |
| 2026-10-07 | 0.5657 | 25.8% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-08 | 0.5634 | 25.8% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-09 | 0.5633 | 25.8% | touched ✓ |
| 2026-10-12 | 0.5641 | 25.8% | not touched ✗ |
| 2026-10-13 | 0.5622 | 25.8% | touched ✓ |
Live frozen record
Not tracked yet — the frozen live prediction record currently runs for the 6 futures markets only. See scorecard for the full picture as it grows.