Live calls. Measured odds. Every outcome graded.
Directional setups across 6 crypto pairs. The default board shows S, A and B calls with at least 77% confidence.
DATA AS OF 09:15 ET · 15-MIN DELAYED FEED · NEXT SCAN IN 14:32
A call is graded by a published race: a 0.05 ATR target touch versus a 0.15 ATR invalidation close, capped at 40 periods.
The rule parameters are product choices. The probabilities under that rule are calibrated walk-forward by year.
Live crypto calls use Bybit spot 15-minute bars; the backfill and calibration on this page use Binance. The two agreed on 97% of HIT/MISS outcomes in a 45-day check.
LIVE CALLS WE GOT RIGHT
135 HIT · 9 MISS
LAST 144 RESOLVED S/A/B CALLS
HIT and MISS determine the score. EXPIRED calls are reported separately.
WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER
WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER
What each stated confidence tier actually delivered in year-by-year historical scoring.
Historical results are a rules-based backfill, not calls published before their outcomes. Live timestamping begins with the live record.
LIVE CALLS · 0
Calls that have fired and are now racing toward a target touch or invalidation close.
No S, A or B call is live right now. We're still scanning 6 crypto pairs.
OPEN SETUPS · 0
Conditions we are watching that have not fired a call yet.
No setup is waiting to trigger. The board will update after the next scheduled scan.
Open setups include every tier so an already-tracked setup never disappears when confidence changes.
RESULTS
Resolved calls by tier. Historical calibration stays visible across every tier.
| WINDOW | S | A | B | D | EXPIRED |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TODAY | 0/0 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0.0% |
| LAST 300 RESOLVED | 134/143 HIT | 1/1 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0.0% |
EXPIRED means neither boundary was reached within 40 periods. It is not counted as either a HIT or a MISS.
Hit rate is not payoff. See the one-period outcome and payoff distribution in Track Record →
HIT RATE BY MARKET
Every resolved S, A and B call since the live record began, split by market. The line is the rolling 7-trading-day hit rate; the dashed line is all markets together.
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HIT and MISS only. EXPIRED calls are excluded. Small samples swing more — the interval shows how much.
LATEST RESOLUTIONS
The five most recent calls graded under the published rule.
| MARKET / TF | DIRECTION | TIER | RESULT | ENTRY | RESOLVED AT | PERIODS | published | DETAIL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAXUSDT / 105m | down | S | HIT ✓ | 10.15 | 2026-10-12 21:45 ET | 1 | published 34 min after bar close before outcome | DETAIL |
62,022 historical calls, replayed under the same published rule and graded.
This record is a rules-based backfill, not a claim that historical calls were published live. Download every row and inspect the walk-forward calibration.