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Live calls. Measured odds. Every outcome graded.

Directional setups across 12 stocks. The default board shows S, A and B calls with at least 77% confidence.

DATA AS OF 08:01 ET · 15-MIN DELAYED FEED · NEXT SCAN IN 13:56

A call is graded by a published race: a 0.05 ATR target touch versus a 0.15 ATR invalidation close, capped at 40 periods.

The rule parameters are product choices. The probabilities under that rule are calibrated walk-forward by year.

LIVE CALLS WE GOT RIGHT

89.0%

146 HIT · 18 MISS

LAST 164 RESOLVED S/A/B CALLS

HIT and MISS determine the score. EXPIRED calls are reported separately.

WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER

WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER

What each stated confidence tier actually delivered in year-by-year historical scoring.

S
90.2%
REALIZED HIT RATE · STATED 89.3%
n = 166,174
A
86.7%
REALIZED HIT RATE · STATED 85.2%
n = 41,736

Historical results are a rules-based backfill, not calls published before their outcomes. Live timestamping begins with the live record.

LIVE CALLS · 2

Calls that have fired and are now racing toward a target touch or invalidation close.

Open a card for today's market roadmap.

OPEN SETUPS · 2

Conditions we are watching that have not fired a call yet.

TIERMARKET / TFDIRECTIONCONFIDENCEENTRYCHECKPOINTSELIGIBLE INpublished
SAMD / 15mup90%605.5200 PERIODSpublished 33 min after bar close before outcome
SNVDA / 15mup90%228.5200 PERIODSpublished 33 min after bar close before outcome

Open setups include every tier so an already-tracked setup never disappears when confidence changes.

RESULTS

Resolved calls by tier. Historical calibration stays visible across every tier.

WINDOWSABDEXPIRED
TODAY0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0.0%
LAST 300 RESOLVED142/159 HIT4/5 HIT0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0.0%

EXPIRED means neither boundary was reached within 40 periods. It is not counted as either a HIT or a MISS.

Hit rate is not payoff. See the one-period outcome and payoff distribution in Track Record →

HIT RATE BY MARKET

Every resolved S, A and B call since the live record began, split by market. The line is the rolling 7-trading-day hit rate; the dashed line is all markets together.

HIT and MISS only. EXPIRED calls are excluded. Small samples swing more — the interval shows how much.

LATEST RESOLUTIONS

The five most recent calls graded under the published rule.

MARKET / TFDIRECTIONTIERRESULTENTRYRESOLVED ATPERIODSpublishedDETAIL
META / 75mupSMISS ×751.232026-10-12 15:45 ET1published 33 min after bar close before outcomeDETAIL
META / 60mupSMISS ×751.232026-10-12 15:30 ET1published 33 min after bar close before outcomeDETAIL
AMD / 60mdownSHIT ✓587.092026-10-12 12:30 ET1published 33 min after bar close before outcomeDETAIL
AMD / 90mdownSHIT ✓588.242026-10-12 12:30 ET1published 33 min after bar close before outcomeDETAIL
DIA / 45mupSHIT ✓518.412026-10-12 12:30 ET1published 33 min after bar close before outcomeDETAIL
88.9%

208,429 historical calls, replayed under the same published rule and graded.

This record is a rules-based backfill, not a claim that historical calls were published live. Download every row and inspect the walk-forward calibration.

OPEN THE TRACK RECORD →

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