foxalgo6J roadmap
Held era only (2,226 sessions, 2010-06-06 .. 2026-08-10) — see the note below on why fit-era numbers never ship here.
Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →
Current price: 0.0063 · ATR14: 0.0000 · 09:30 open: 0.0064
Every probability below is measured on 2018-01-01 onward only (the most recent regime), never on the pooled full history: 35.2% of touch-ladder cells differ significantly between the pre-2018 period and 2018 onward, so only the recent number ships. The era flag marks a cell that moved between the two periods -- read it as a stability caveat, not a probability.
The map
Touch ladder
Anchored to the 09:30 ET open — price/points columns use today's open and current ATR14.
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 85.3% | 2,224 | NEAR BAND | moved since 2018 |
| 0.05 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 86.2% | 2,224 | NEAR BAND | — |
| 0.10 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 70.8% | 2,224 | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.10 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 74.2% | 2,224 | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.15 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 60.0% | 2,224 | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| 0.15 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 61.3% | 2,224 | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| 0.20 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 49.1% | 2,224 | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| 0.20 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 50.1% | 2,224 | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 41.5% | 2,224 | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 41.0% | 2,224 | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| 0.30 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 34.0% | 2,224 | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| 0.30 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 33.1% | 2,224 | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 23.2% | 2,224 | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 20.9% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 15.5% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 13.9% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 0.75 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 6.7% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 0.75 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 4.1% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 2.3% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 1.6% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 1.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 0.8% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | — |
| 1.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 0.3% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
Anchored to the 08:45 ET checkpoint — shown in ATR distance only, no live price conversion for this anchor.
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | up | — | — | 87.1% | 2,224 | NEAR BAND | moved since 2018 |
| 0.05 | down | — | — | 88.2% | 2,224 | NEAR BAND | — |
| 0.10 | up | — | — | 73.7% | 2,224 | LIKELY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.10 | down | — | — | 75.7% | 2,224 | LIKELY | — |
| 0.15 | up | — | — | 60.9% | 2,224 | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| 0.15 | down | — | — | 64.7% | 2,224 | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| 0.20 | up | — | — | 51.1% | 2,224 | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| 0.20 | down | — | — | 54.9% | 2,224 | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | up | — | — | 43.3% | 2,224 | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | down | — | — | 46.1% | 2,224 | COIN FLIP | moved since 2018 |
| 0.30 | up | — | — | 36.4% | 2,224 | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| 0.30 | down | — | — | 37.9% | 2,224 | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | up | — | — | 25.5% | 2,224 | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | down | — | — | 25.1% | 2,224 | STRETCH | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | up | — | — | 18.8% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | down | — | — | 16.6% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 0.75 | up | — | — | 8.2% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 0.75 | down | — | — | 6.2% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | up | — | — | 3.4% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | down | — | — | 2.1% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | moved since 2018 |
| 1.50 | up | — | — | 0.8% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | — |
| 1.50 | down | — | — | 0.5% | 2,224 | LONG SHOT | — |
State of the day
Historical percentiles of the day's range-so-far at each checkpoint, in ATR — informational reference, not compared against today's live range here.
| checkpoint | n | p5 | p10 | p25 | p50 | p75 | p90 | p95 | p99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0845 | 2,225 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.52 | 0.69 | 0.94 | 1.28 | 1.58 | 2.46 |
| 0930 | 2,225 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.55 | 0.72 | 0.98 | 1.34 | 1.63 | 2.48 |
| 1030 | 2,225 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.59 | 0.79 | 1.07 | 1.44 | 1.78 | 2.67 |
Fade caution
| range so far | p (held) | n | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| <0.5 | 55.1% | 399 | moved since 2018 |
| 0.5-0.85 | 60.7% | 974 | — |
| 0.85-1.05 | 56.7% | 351 | — |
| 1.05-1.25 | 59.9% | 182 | — |
| >1.25 | 60.3% | 272 | — |
Named levels
Distances are ATR-relative to the 09:30 open, same convention as the touch ladder above.
- SCENERY: no measurable difference - this level behaves like any other price at that distance.
- PULLS: price reached this level clearly more often (5+ points, 95% interval excludes zero) than at any other level the same distance away.
- REPELS: price reached this level clearly less often (5+ points, 95% interval excludes zero) than at any other level the same distance away.
Midnight open (00:00 ET)
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 85.4% | 199 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.10 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 64.5% | 138 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.15 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 61.3% | 119 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.20 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 46.0% | 100 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 37.9% | 103 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.30 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 23.8% | 130 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 19.5% | 123 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 15.7% | 147 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.75 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 2.4% | 84 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 4.2% | 48 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 0.0% | 7 | Not enough data (n<30) | — |
| 0.05 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 89.4% | 189 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.10 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 77.8% | 99 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.15 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 56.8% | 111 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.20 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 51.2% | 80 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 43.4% | 76 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.30 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 36.8% | 95 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.40 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 19.4% | 108 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 17.8% | 107 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.75 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 4.8% | 83 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 6.4% | 47 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 0.0% | 18 | PULLS | — |
Prior day high
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 92.2% | 116 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.10 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 65.6% | 90 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.15 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 68.3% | 60 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.20 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 44.8% | 87 | REPELS | — |
| 0.25 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 44.4% | 108 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.30 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 29.6% | 125 | REPELS | — |
| 0.40 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 27.0% | 185 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 13.8% | 275 | REPELS | — |
| 0.75 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 4.3% | 258 | SCENERY | — |
| 1.00 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 2.0% | 203 | SCENERY | — |
| 1.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 1.1% | 91 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.05 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 89.8% | 88 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.10 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 66.7% | 51 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.15 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 75.9% | 54 | PULLS | — |
| 0.20 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 43.6% | 55 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 46.9% | 32 | PULLS | — |
| 0.30 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 40.4% | 57 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 15.7% | 51 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 9.3% | 75 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.75 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 8.3% | 48 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 4.4% | 45 | PULLS | — |
| 1.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 0.0% | 22 | PULLS | — |
Prior day low
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 90.4% | 135 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.10 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 64.9% | 74 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.15 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 53.6% | 69 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.20 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 43.6% | 55 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 38.8% | 49 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.30 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 30.0% | 60 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 17.2% | 93 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 11.0% | 91 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.75 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 5.6% | 71 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 2.5% | 40 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 0.0% | 19 | Not enough data (n<30) | — |
| 0.05 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 93.9% | 147 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.10 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 64.6% | 96 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.15 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 61.5% | 96 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.20 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 47.6% | 82 | REPELS | — |
| 0.25 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 40.6% | 96 | REPELS | — |
| 0.30 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 34.2% | 117 | REPELS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 20.3% | 158 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 10.1% | 188 | REPELS | — |
| 0.75 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 4.6% | 217 | SCENERY | — |
| 1.00 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 2.3% | 129 | SCENERY | — |
| 1.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 1.2% | 82 | SCENERY | — |
Prior day mid
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 92.4% | 158 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.10 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 72.4% | 87 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.15 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 57.3% | 117 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.20 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 43.5% | 92 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 46.1% | 89 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.30 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 25.6% | 117 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 22.0% | 132 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 9.3% | 162 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.75 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 3.9% | 153 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 1.1% | 94 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 1.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 3.0% | 33 | PULLS | — |
| 0.05 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 92.0% | 138 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.10 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 69.9% | 83 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.15 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 52.5% | 61 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.20 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 46.9% | 81 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 42.6% | 61 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.30 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 28.7% | 87 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.40 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 13.8% | 87 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 16.9% | 130 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.75 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 5.9% | 102 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 2.5% | 79 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 2.3% | 44 | PULLS | — |
Prior settlement / close
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 90.1% | 171 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.10 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 74.0% | 119 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.15 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 58.1% | 86 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.20 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 47.9% | 94 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 39.2% | 74 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.30 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 25.5% | 106 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 21.5% | 130 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 6.9% | 160 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.75 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 4.9% | 122 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 1.3% | 76 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 0.0% | 23 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.05 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 85.8% | 134 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.10 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 70.5% | 88 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.15 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 62.7% | 67 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.20 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 43.0% | 79 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 36.3% | 80 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.30 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 26.4% | 91 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.40 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 26.2% | 107 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 19.1% | 126 | PULLS | — |
| 0.75 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 6.1% | 98 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.00 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 2.7% | 73 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 1.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 0.0% | 42 | PULLS | — |
18:00 ET session mid
| d (ATR) | dir | price | points | p (held) | n | band | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 84.7% | 275 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.10 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 69.0% | 184 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.15 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 54.7% | 201 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.20 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 45.3% | 139 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 34.7% | 121 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.30 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 34.2% | 123 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 21.1% | 95 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 17.2% | 58 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.75 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 11.1% | 18 | PULLS | — |
| 1.00 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 0.0% | 6 | Not enough data (n<30) | — |
| 1.50 | up | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | — | 0 | Not enough data (n<30) | — |
| 0.05 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 86.4% | 265 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.10 | down | 0.0064 | 0.0000 | 73.7% | 152 | SCENERY | — |
| 0.15 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 57.9% | 164 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.20 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 45.4% | 108 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.25 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 50.6% | 87 | PULLS | — |
| 0.30 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 35.4% | 82 | SCENERY | moved since 2018 |
| 0.40 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 31.0% | 71 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.50 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 13.2% | 38 | PULLS | moved since 2018 |
| 0.75 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 13.8% | 29 | PULLS | — |
| 1.00 | down | 0.0063 | 0.0000 | 0.0% | 7 | Not enough data (n<30) | — |
The playbook
09:45 checkpoint
| band | p (held) | n | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALL (pooled) | 43.9% | 2,178 | moved since 2018 |
| up >0.20 | 64.8% | 54 | — |
| up 0.10-0.20 | 63.7% | 212 | — |
| up 0.05-0.10 | 54.3% | 317 | — |
| near 0 (<0.05 abs) | 42.9% | 1,050 | — |
| dn 0.05-0.10 | 32.8% | 314 | — |
| dn 0.10-0.20 | 27.2% | 169 | — |
| dn >0.20 | 22.6% | 62 | — |
One end by 10:30
| metric | p (held) | n |
|---|---|---|
| RTH high is final by 10:30 | 45.7% | 2,224 |
| RTH low is final by 10:30 | 38.7% | 2,224 |
| Both high and low final by 10:30 | 6.3% | 2,224 |
| Low comes before high (full day) | 46.1% | 2,224 |
| Low comes before high (09:30-10:30 window) | 49.2% | 2,224 |
Stop-fading curve
checkpoints pooled 09:45..11:30 every 15min; range_so_far = larger of (up-extreme, down-extreme) reached so far since 09:30 open, in ATR; continuation = later RTH bar exceeds that same-direction extreme further
| range so far (ATR bin) | p (held) | n | era flag |
|---|---|---|---|
| [0,0.25) | 68.9% | 11,355 | moved since 2018 |
| [0.25,0.5) | 62.0% | 5,140 | moved since 2018 |
| [0.5,0.75) | 65.1% | 893 | moved since 2018 |
| [0.75,1.0) | 53.5% | 269 | moved since 2018 |
| [1.0,1.25) | 47.6% | 84 | moved since 2018 |
| [1.25,1.5) | 76.5% | 17 | — |
| [1.5,2.0) | 75.0% | 12 | — |
| >=2.0 | 27.3% | 22 | — |
Low is in before the high
Share of days where the RTH low / high of the day has already been set, by clock checkpoint.
By 15:00 the low is already in 86% of days, the high 91%.
| checkpoint | low in % | high in % | diff | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:45 | 19.9% | 23.5% | -3.7 | 2,224 |
| 10:30 | 38.7% | 45.7% | -7.1 | 2,224 |
| 12:00 | 59.0% | 67.7% | -8.7 | 2,224 |
| 14:00 | 75.2% | 82.6% | -7.5 | 2,224 |
| 15:00 | 86.2% | 91.1% | -4.9 | 2,224 |
Don't fade a stretched day
At each checkpoint, chance the day's range still extends >=0.05 ATR further by the 16:00 close, by how far the range has already stretched.
| range so far (ATR) | 10:30 | 12:00 | 14:00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| <0.80 | 54.5% | 33.9% | 16.9% |
| 0.80-1.05 | 63.0% reading, not a rule (n=27) | 38.9% reading, not a rule (n=54) | 24.0% reading, not a rule (n=100) |
| 1.05-1.25 | 50.0% reading, not a rule (n=4) | 33.3% reading, not a rule (n=15) | 33.3% reading, not a rule (n=21) |
| >=1.25 | 40.0% reading, not a rule (n=5) | 33.3% reading, not a rule (n=18) | 25.8% reading, not a rule (n=31) |
Yesterday's close vs. prior day range
R1/R2 use the full session (18:00-17:00 ET) close and prior-day range, not RTH -- see the note on the JSON for how this differs from the named-levels section above.
2 row(s) below 77% confidence hidden by default. Show all (incl. under 77%)
Covers 10 symbols: the 6 site futures plus 6A/6B/6E/6J.