Live calls. Measured odds. Every outcome graded.
Directional setups across ES, NQ, YM, RTY, GC and CL. The default board shows S, A and B calls with at least 77% confidence.
DATA AS OF 08:01 ET · 15-MIN DELAYED FEED · NEXT SCAN IN 13:26
A call is graded by a published race: a 0.05 ATR target touch versus a 0.15 ATR invalidation close, capped at 40 periods.
The rule parameters are product choices. The probabilities under that rule are calibrated walk-forward by year.
LIVE CALLS WE GOT RIGHT
275 HIT · 25 MISS
LAST 300 RESOLVED S/A/B CALLS
HIT and MISS determine the score. EXPIRED calls are reported separately.
WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER
WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER
What each stated confidence tier actually delivered in year-by-year historical scoring.
Historical results are a rules-based backfill, not calls published before their outcomes. Live timestamping begins with the live record.
LIVE CALLS · 4
Calls that have fired and are now racing toward a target touch or invalidation close.
Open a card for today's market roadmap.
OPEN SETUPS · 4
Conditions we are watching that have not fired a call yet.
| TIER | MARKET / TF | DIRECTION | CONFIDENCE | ENTRY | CHECKPOINTS | ELIGIBLE IN | published |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S | CL / 105m | up | 89% | 95.32 | 0 | 0 PERIODS | published 31 min after bar close before outcome |
| S | CL / 45m | up | 90% | 95.37 | 0 | 0 PERIODS | published 31 min after bar close before outcome |
| S | CL / 60m | up | 88% | 95.42 | 0 | 0 PERIODS | published 31 min after bar close before outcome |
| S | GC / 75m | down | 90% | 4163.90 | 0 | 0 PERIODS | published 31 min after bar close before outcome |
Open setups include every tier so an already-tracked setup never disappears when confidence changes.
RESULTS
Resolved calls by tier. Historical calibration stays visible across every tier.
| WINDOW | S | A | B | D | EXPIRED |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TODAY | 11/11 HIT | 2/2 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0.0% |
| LAST 300 RESOLVED | 269/294 HIT | 6/6 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0/0 HIT | 0.0% |
EXPIRED means neither boundary was reached within 40 periods. It is not counted as either a HIT or a MISS.
Hit rate is not payoff. See the one-period outcome and payoff distribution in Track Record →
HIT RATE BY MARKET
Every resolved S, A and B call since the live record began, split by market. The line is the rolling 7-trading-day hit rate; the dashed line is all markets together.
HIT and MISS only. EXPIRED calls are excluded. Small samples swing more — the interval shows how much.
LATEST RESOLUTIONS
The five most recent calls graded under the published rule.
| MARKET / TF | DIRECTION | TIER | RESULT | ENTRY | RESOLVED AT | PERIODS | published | DETAIL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES / 45m | up | S | HIT ✓ | 7868.00 | 2026-10-14 00:45 ET | 2 | published 31 min after bar close before outcome | DETAIL |
| NQ / 30m | up | S | HIT ✓ | 30872.50 | 2026-10-14 00:30 ET | 3 | published 31 min after bar close before outcome | DETAIL |
| ES / 15m | up | S | HIT ✓ | 7868.00 | 2026-10-14 00:15 ET | 4 | published 31 min after bar close before outcome | DETAIL |
| NQ / 15m | up | A | HIT ✓ | 30880.75 | 2026-10-14 00:15 ET | 4 | published 31 min after bar close before outcome | DETAIL |
| RTY / 15m | up | A | HIT ✓ | 2806.50 | 2026-10-14 00:15 ET | 4 | published 31 min after bar close before outcome | DETAIL |
321,865 historical calls, replayed under the same published rule and graded.
This record is a rules-based backfill, not a claim that historical calls were published live. Download every row and inspect the walk-forward calibration.