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Live calls. Measured odds. Every outcome graded.

Directional setups across ES, NQ, YM, RTY, GC and CL. The default board shows S, A and B calls with at least 77% confidence.

DATA AS OF 09:19 ET · 15-MIN DELAYED FEED · NEXT SCAN IN 10:21

A call is graded by a published race: a 0.05 ATR target touch versus a 0.15 ATR invalidation close, capped at 40 periods.

The rule parameters are product choices. The probabilities under that rule are calibrated walk-forward by year.

LIVE CALLS WE GOT RIGHT

91.7%

275 HIT · 25 MISS

LAST 300 RESOLVED S/A/B CALLS

HIT and MISS determine the score. EXPIRED calls are reported separately.

WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER

WALK-FORWARD RESULTS BY TIER

What each stated confidence tier actually delivered in year-by-year historical scoring.

S
90.8%
REALIZED HIT RATE · STATED 89.9%
n = 232,643
A
86.4%
REALIZED HIT RATE · STATED 84.4%
n = 80,856
B
82.8%
REALIZED HIT RATE · STATED 80.4%
n = 6,204

Historical results are a rules-based backfill, not calls published before their outcomes. Live timestamping begins with the live record.

LIVE CALLS · 0

Calls that have fired and are now racing toward a target touch or invalidation close.

No S, A or B call is live right now. We're still scanning ES, NQ, YM, RTY, GC and CL.

OPEN SETUPS · 0

Conditions we are watching that have not fired a call yet.

No setup is waiting to trigger. The board will update after the next scheduled scan.

Open setups include every tier so an already-tracked setup never disappears when confidence changes.

RESULTS

Resolved calls by tier. Historical calibration stays visible across every tier.

WINDOWSABDEXPIRED
TODAY16/16 HIT2/2 HIT0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0.0%
LAST 300 RESOLVED269/294 HIT6/6 HIT0/0 HIT0/0 HIT0.0%

EXPIRED means neither boundary was reached within 40 periods. It is not counted as either a HIT or a MISS.

Hit rate is not payoff. See the one-period outcome and payoff distribution in Track Record →

HIT RATE BY MARKET

Every resolved S, A and B call since the live record began, split by market. The line is the rolling 7-trading-day hit rate; the dashed line is all markets together.

HIT and MISS only. EXPIRED calls are excluded. Small samples swing more — the interval shows how much.

LATEST RESOLUTIONS

The five most recent calls graded under the published rule.

MARKET / TFDIRECTIONTIERRESULTENTRYRESOLVED ATPERIODSpublishedDETAIL
GC / 75mdownSHIT ✓4163.902026-10-14 07:45 ET1published 31 min after bar close before outcomeDETAIL
89.4%

321,865 historical calls, replayed under the same published rule and graded.

This record is a rules-based backfill, not a claim that historical calls were published live. Download every row and inspect the walk-forward calibration.

OPEN THE TRACK RECORD →

This week's review →