일간 확률 맵

스냅샷 11:14 ETNEW YORK 세션

추적 중인 각 시장의 touch probability를 15분마다 갱신한다. 셀에 마우스를 올리면 세부 정보를 보고, 시장 행을 클릭하면 해당 드로어를 연다.

Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →

추적 시장

31 / 32

오늘 확정

107

아직 진행 중

157

마지막 갱신

스냅샷 11:00 ET

Futures Stocks FX Crypto

세션 기준점에서 ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR의 P(touch), 각 추적 futures 시장별.

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at the 09:30 ET session open — the feed's available session-range window may not start at exactly that instant, see methodology.

시장	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
E-mini S&P 500최근 7675.50	↑82.6% ↓76.4% ✓83% ✓76% +6.1pp	↑58.4% ↓51.6% ✓58% ✓52% +6.8pp	↑27.9% ↓27.9% ✓28% 28% +0.0pp	↑12.0% ↓15.1% 12% 15% -3.1pp	↑5.1% ↓7.7% 5% 8% -2.6pp	↑1.2% ↓2.5% 1% 3% -1.3pp
E-mini Nasdaq 100최근 29216.75	↑82.6% ↓76.4% ✓83% ✓76% +6.1pp	↑58.4% ↓51.6% ✓58% ✓52% +6.8pp	↑27.9% ↓27.9% ✓28% 28% +0.0pp	↑12.0% ↓15.1% 12% 15% -3.1pp	↑5.1% ↓7.7% 5% 8% -2.6pp	↑1.2% ↓2.5% 1% 3% -1.3pp
E-mini Dow최근 53482.00	↑82.6% ↓76.4% ✓83% ✓76% +6.1pp	↑58.4% ↓51.6% ✓58% 52% +6.8pp	↑27.9% ↓27.9% ✓28% 28% +0.0pp	↑12.0% ↓15.1% ✓12% 15% -3.1pp	↑5.1% ↓7.7% 5% 8% -2.6pp	↑1.2% ↓2.5% 1% 3% -1.3pp
E-mini Russell 2000최근 3009.40	↑82.6% ↓76.4% ✓83% ✓76% +6.1pp	↑58.4% ↓51.6% ✓58% 52% +6.8pp	↑27.9% ↓27.9% ✓28% 28% +0.0pp	↑12.0% ↓15.1% 12% 15% -3.1pp	↑5.1% ↓7.7% 5% 8% -2.6pp	↑1.2% ↓2.5% 1% 3% -1.3pp
Gold최근 4692.60	↑79.2% ↓79.4% ✓79% ✓79% -0.1pp	↑52.7% ↓53.6% ✓53% ✓54% -0.9pp	↑24.9% ↓26.0% 25% ✓26% -1.1pp	↑11.3% ↓12.6% 11% 13% -1.3pp	↑5.6% ↓6.5% 6% 7% -1.0pp	↑1.5% ↓2.0% 2% 2% -0.5pp
WTI Crude최근 82.45	↑80.9% ↓81.2% 81% ✓81% -0.2pp	↑57.0% ↓58.1% 57% ✓58% -1.1pp	↑28.4% ↓29.5% 28% ✓29% -1.0pp	↑13.8% ↓14.5% 14% ✓14% -0.7pp	↑6.3% ↓6.9% 6% ✓7% -0.7pp	↑1.4% ↓1.5% 1% ✓2% -0.1pp

E-mini S&P 500GoldWTI Crude

상승 방향 표시됨; 각 시장 드로어에는 전체 상승/하락 곡선이 있다.

E-mini S&P 500 · 최근 시세 7675.50

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	82.6%	76.4%	11,653
0.25	58.4%	51.6%	11,653
0.5	27.9%	27.9%	11,653
0.75	12.0%	15.1%	11,653
1	5.1%	7.7%	11,653
1.5	1.2%	2.5%	11,653

E-mini Nasdaq 100 · 최근 시세 29216.75

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	82.6%	76.4%	11,653
0.25	58.4%	51.6%	11,653
0.5	27.9%	27.9%	11,653
0.75	12.0%	15.1%	11,653
1	5.1%	7.7%	11,653
1.5	1.2%	2.5%	11,653

E-mini Dow · 최근 시세 53482.00

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	82.6%	76.4%	11,653
0.25	58.4%	51.6%	11,653
0.5	27.9%	27.9%	11,653
0.75	12.0%	15.1%	11,653
1	5.1%	7.7%	11,653
1.5	1.2%	2.5%	11,653

E-mini Russell 2000 · 최근 시세 3009.40

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	82.6%	76.4%	11,653
0.25	58.4%	51.6%	11,653
0.5	27.9%	27.9%	11,653
0.75	12.0%	15.1%	11,653
1	5.1%	7.7%	11,653
1.5	1.2%	2.5%	11,653

Gold · 최근 시세 4692.60

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.2%	79.4%	9,626
0.25	52.7%	53.6%	9,626
0.5	24.9%	26.0%	9,626
0.75	11.3%	12.6%	9,626
1	5.6%	6.5%	9,626
1.5	1.5%	2.0%	9,626

WTI Crude · 최근 시세 82.45

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	80.9%	81.2%	9,568
0.25	57.0%	58.1%	9,568
0.5	28.4%	29.5%	9,568
0.75	13.8%	14.5%	9,568
1	6.3%	6.9%	9,568
1.5	1.4%	1.5%	9,568

세션 기준점에서 ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR의 P(touch), 각 추적 stocks 시장별.

2020-2026의 과거 기간, 이 12개 종목은 사후 선택(ex-post, survivorship)되었습니다 — 보정은 무작위 종목이 아니라 이 종목들에 적용됩니다. 라이브 고정 스코어카드는 출시 시점부터 누적됩니다.

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at the 09:30 ET RTH open, matching the feed's session window for exchange-listed equities.

알려진 공백: No first-hit grid exists for stocks — brackets.json and width_bounds.json have no stock coverage; not yet measured.

시장	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
S&P 500 ETF (SPY)최근 764.72	↑85.7% ↓78.2% ✓86% ✓78% +7.5pp	↑58.0% ↓52.5% 58% ✓53% +5.5pp	↑24.5% ↓27.2% 25% ✓27% -2.7pp	↑10.2% ↓14.0% 10% 14% -3.8pp	↑4.0% ↓6.5% 4% 6% -2.5pp	↑0.9% ↓1.9% 1% 2% -1.0pp
Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ)최근 709.69	↑85.7% ↓78.2% ✓86% ✓78% +7.5pp	↑58.0% ↓52.5% ✓58% ✓53% +5.5pp	↑24.5% ↓27.2% 25% 27% -2.7pp	↑10.2% ↓14.0% 10% 14% -3.8pp	↑4.0% ↓6.5% 4% 6% -2.5pp	↑0.9% ↓1.9% 1% 2% -1.0pp
Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)최근 298.99	↑85.7% ↓78.2% 86% ✓78% +7.5pp	↑58.0% ↓52.5% 58% ✓53% +5.5pp	↑24.5% ↓27.2% 25% ✓27% -2.7pp	↑10.2% ↓14.0% 10% 14% -3.8pp	↑4.0% ↓6.5% 4% 6% -2.5pp	↑0.9% ↓1.9% 1% 2% -1.0pp
Apple최근 309.11	↑81.3% ↓78.2% ✓81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% ✓54% ✓51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% 24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% 9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Microsoft최근 489.26	↑81.3% ↓78.2% ✓81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% ✓54% 51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% 24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% 9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Nvidia최근 211.03	↑81.3% ↓78.2% ✓81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% ✓54% 51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% ✓24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% ✓9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Amazon최근 260.89	↑81.3% ↓78.2% ✓81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% 54% ✓51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% 24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% 9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Alphabet (GOOGL)최근 346.16	↑81.3% ↓78.2% 81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% 54% ✓51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% 24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% 9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Meta Platforms최근 564.05	↑81.3% ↓78.2% ✓81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% ✓54% 51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% 24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% 9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Tesla최근 350.93	↑80.9% ↓77.8% ✓81% ✓78% +3.1pp	↑54.0% ↓50.3% 54% 50% +3.7pp	↑22.5% ↓20.5% 22% 21% +1.9pp	↑7.5% ↓7.1% 8% 7% +0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓2.0% 3% 2% +1.3pp	↑0.5% ↓0.3% 1% 0% +0.3pp
AMD최근 478.50	↑80.9% ↓77.8% ✓81% ✓78% +3.1pp	↑54.0% ↓50.3% 54% ✓50% +3.7pp	↑22.5% ↓20.5% 22% 21% +1.9pp	↑7.5% ↓7.1% 8% 7% +0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓2.0% 3% 2% +1.3pp	↑0.5% ↓0.3% 1% 0% +0.3pp
Netflix최근 81.04	↑80.9% ↓77.8% ✓81% ✓78% +3.1pp	↑54.0% ↓50.3% ✓54% 50% +3.7pp	↑22.5% ↓20.5% ✓22% 21% +1.9pp	↑7.5% ↓7.1% ✓8% 7% +0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓2.0% ✓3% 2% +1.3pp	↑0.5% ↓0.3% 1% 0% +0.3pp

S&P 500 ETF (SPY)Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ)AppleNvidia

상승 방향 표시됨; 각 시장 드로어에는 전체 상승/하락 곡선이 있다.

S&P 500 ETF (SPY) · 최근 시세 764.72

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	85.7%	78.2%	1,861
0.25	58.0%	52.5%	1,861
0.5	24.5%	27.2%	1,861
0.75	10.2%	14.0%	1,861
1	4.0%	6.5%	1,861
1.5	0.9%	1.9%	1,861

Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) · 최근 시세 709.69

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	85.7%	78.2%	1,861
0.25	58.0%	52.5%	1,861
0.5	24.5%	27.2%	1,861
0.75	10.2%	14.0%	1,861
1	4.0%	6.5%	1,861
1.5	0.9%	1.9%	1,861

Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) · 최근 시세 298.99

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	85.7%	78.2%	1,861
0.25	58.0%	52.5%	1,861
0.5	24.5%	27.2%	1,861
0.75	10.2%	14.0%	1,861
1	4.0%	6.5%	1,861
1.5	0.9%	1.9%	1,861

Apple · 최근 시세 309.11

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Microsoft · 최근 시세 489.26

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Nvidia · 최근 시세 211.03

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Amazon · 최근 시세 260.89

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Alphabet (GOOGL) · 최근 시세 346.16

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Meta Platforms · 최근 시세 564.05

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Tesla · 최근 시세 350.93

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	80.9%	77.8%	1,152
0.25	54.0%	50.3%	1,152
0.5	22.5%	20.5%	1,152
0.75	7.5%	7.1%	1,152
1	3.3%	2.0%	1,152
1.5	0.5%	0.3%	1,152

AMD · 최근 시세 478.50

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	80.9%	77.8%	1,152
0.25	54.0%	50.3%	1,152
0.5	22.5%	20.5%	1,152
0.75	7.5%	7.1%	1,152
1	3.3%	2.0%	1,152
1.5	0.5%	0.3%	1,152

Netflix · 최근 시세 81.04

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	80.9%	77.8%	1,152
0.25	54.0%	50.3%	1,152
0.5	22.5%	20.5%	1,152
0.75	7.5%	7.1%	1,152
1	3.3%	2.0%	1,152
1.5	0.5%	0.3%	1,152

세션 기준점에서 ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR의 P(touch), 각 추적 fx 시장별.

Live touch/not-touched status isn't shown for FX: the data feed has no reliable 17:00 ET forex-day session open to anchor against, so we show probability only rather than guess.

알려진 공백: XAU is not present in touch_surface_fx_v1 (scopes available: fx_majors, fx_cross, all_fx, cfd_ostatni) — not yet measured.

시장	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
EUR/USD최근 1.1673	↑68.9% ↓66.7% —69% —67% +2.2pp	↑32.3% ↓30.7% —32% —31% +1.7pp	↑9.1% ↓8.8% —9% —9% +0.3pp	↑3.2% ↓3.1% —3% —3% +0.1pp	↑1.5% ↓1.4% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.1pp
GBP/USD최근 1.3634	↑68.9% ↓66.7% —69% —67% +2.2pp	↑32.3% ↓30.7% —32% —31% +1.7pp	↑9.1% ↓8.8% —9% —9% +0.3pp	↑3.2% ↓3.1% —3% —3% +0.1pp	↑1.5% ↓1.4% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.1pp
USD/JPY최근 159.25	↑68.9% ↓66.7% —69% —67% +2.2pp	↑32.3% ↓30.7% —32% —31% +1.7pp	↑9.1% ↓8.8% —9% —9% +0.3pp	↑3.2% ↓3.1% —3% —3% +0.1pp	↑1.5% ↓1.4% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.1pp
AUD/USD최근 0.7159	↑68.9% ↓66.7% —69% —67% +2.2pp	↑32.3% ↓30.7% —32% —31% +1.7pp	↑9.1% ↓8.8% —9% —9% +0.3pp	↑3.2% ↓3.1% —3% —3% +0.1pp	↑1.5% ↓1.4% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.1pp
USD/CAD최근 1.3834	↑68.9% ↓66.7% —69% —67% +2.2pp	↑32.3% ↓30.7% —32% —31% +1.7pp	↑9.1% ↓8.8% —9% —9% +0.3pp	↑3.2% ↓3.1% —3% —3% +0.1pp	↑1.5% ↓1.4% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.1pp
USD/CHF최근 0.8027	↑68.9% ↓66.7% —69% —67% +2.2pp	↑32.3% ↓30.7% —32% —31% +1.7pp	↑9.1% ↓8.8% —9% —9% +0.3pp	↑3.2% ↓3.1% —3% —3% +0.1pp	↑1.5% ↓1.4% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.1pp
NZD/USD최근 0.5971	↑68.9% ↓66.7% —69% —67% +2.2pp	↑32.3% ↓30.7% —32% —31% +1.7pp	↑9.1% ↓8.8% —9% —9% +0.3pp	↑3.2% ↓3.1% —3% —3% +0.1pp	↑1.5% ↓1.4% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.1pp
Gold spot (XAU/USD)	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —

EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPY

상승 방향 표시됨; 각 시장 드로어에는 전체 상승/하락 곡선이 있다.

EUR/USD · 최근 시세 1.1673

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	68.9%	66.7%	8,523
0.25	32.3%	30.7%	8,523
0.5	9.1%	8.8%	8,523
0.75	3.2%	3.1%	8,523
1	1.5%	1.4%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

GBP/USD · 최근 시세 1.3634

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	68.9%	66.7%	8,523
0.25	32.3%	30.7%	8,523
0.5	9.1%	8.8%	8,523
0.75	3.2%	3.1%	8,523
1	1.5%	1.4%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

USD/JPY · 최근 시세 159.25

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	68.9%	66.7%	8,523
0.25	32.3%	30.7%	8,523
0.5	9.1%	8.8%	8,523
0.75	3.2%	3.1%	8,523
1	1.5%	1.4%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

AUD/USD · 최근 시세 0.7159

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	68.9%	66.7%	8,523
0.25	32.3%	30.7%	8,523
0.5	9.1%	8.8%	8,523
0.75	3.2%	3.1%	8,523
1	1.5%	1.4%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

USD/CAD · 최근 시세 1.3834

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	68.9%	66.7%	8,523
0.25	32.3%	30.7%	8,523
0.5	9.1%	8.8%	8,523
0.75	3.2%	3.1%	8,523
1	1.5%	1.4%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

USD/CHF · 최근 시세 0.8027

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	68.9%	66.7%	8,523
0.25	32.3%	30.7%	8,523
0.5	9.1%	8.8%	8,523
0.75	3.2%	3.1%	8,523
1	1.5%	1.4%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

NZD/USD · 최근 시세 0.5971

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	68.9%	66.7%	8,523
0.25	32.3%	30.7%	8,523
0.5	9.1%	8.8%	8,523
0.75	3.2%	3.1%	8,523
1	1.5%	1.4%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

Gold spot (XAU/USD)

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—
0.25	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—
0.5	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—
0.75	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—
1	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—
1.5	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—

세션 기준점에서 ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 ATR의 P(touch), 각 추적 crypto 시장별.

주말은 더 한산합니다 — 확률이 달라져서 주말 수치를 따로 표시합니다.

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at 00:00 UTC (today's day type: weekday) — the feed's session-range window may not start exactly at that instant, see methodology. Weekends trade a measurably different, thinner regime, so weekday and weekend use separate probability curves.

알려진 공백: day_type=vse (pooled weekday+weekend) is not served — weekday and weekend are measurably different regimes, so the site must always pick the row matching today's UTC day type. Cells flagged rare in the source parquet (p<0.01 or p>0.99; 21.7% of all rows) are dropped entirely, not served — they render as 'not yet measured' the same as any other missing combo.

시장	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR
Bitcoin최근 79232.73	↑76.0% ↓76.2% ✓76% ✓76% -0.2pp	↑45.7% ↓46.3% ✓46% ✓46% -0.6pp	↑19.3% ↓20.6% ✓19% 21% -1.3pp	↑9.2% ↓10.0% ✓9% 10% -0.8pp
Ethereum최근 2476.97	↑76.0% ↓76.2% ✓76% ✓76% -0.2pp	↑45.7% ↓46.3% ✓46% ✓46% -0.6pp	↑19.3% ↓20.6% ✓19% 21% -1.3pp	↑9.2% ↓10.0% 9% 10% -0.8pp
Solana최근 98.20	↑72.7% ↓77.5% ✓73% ✓78% -4.8pp	↑44.1% ↓49.1% ✓44% ✓49% -5.0pp	↑19.7% ↓20.4% ✓20% ✓20% -0.7pp	↑8.9% ↓10.0% ✓9% 10% -1.0pp
Avalanche최근 7.4950	↑72.7% ↓77.5% ✓73% ✓78% -4.8pp	↑44.1% ↓49.1% ✓44% ✓49% -5.0pp	↑19.7% ↓20.4% ✓20% ✓20% -0.7pp	↑8.9% ↓10.0% 9% 10% -1.0pp
Chainlink최근 11.59	↑72.7% ↓77.5% ✓73% ✓78% -4.8pp	↑44.1% ↓49.1% ✓44% ✓49% -5.0pp	↑19.7% ↓20.4% ✓20% 20% -0.7pp	↑8.9% ↓10.0% 9% 10% -1.0pp
Dogecoin최근 0.0890	↑72.7% ↓77.5% ✓73% ✓78% -4.8pp	↑44.1% ↓49.1% ✓44% ✓49% -5.0pp	↑19.7% ↓20.4% ✓20% ✓20% -0.7pp	↑8.9% ↓10.0% 9% 10% -1.0pp

BitcoinEthereumSolana

상승 방향 표시됨; 각 시장 드로어에는 전체 상승/하락 곡선이 있다.

Bitcoin · 최근 시세 79232.73

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	76.0%	76.2%	1,698
0.25	45.7%	46.3%	1,698
0.5	19.3%	20.6%	1,698
0.75	9.2%	10.0%	1,698

Ethereum · 최근 시세 2476.97

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	76.0%	76.2%	1,698
0.25	45.7%	46.3%	1,698
0.5	19.3%	20.6%	1,698
0.75	9.2%	10.0%	1,698

Solana · 최근 시세 98.20

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	72.7%	77.5%	2,623
0.25	44.1%	49.1%	2,623
0.5	19.7%	20.4%	2,623
0.75	8.9%	10.0%	2,623

Avalanche · 최근 시세 7.4950

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	72.7%	77.5%	2,623
0.25	44.1%	49.1%	2,623
0.5	19.7%	20.4%	2,623
0.75	8.9%	10.0%	2,623

Chainlink · 최근 시세 11.59

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	72.7%	77.5%	2,623
0.25	44.1%	49.1%	2,623
0.5	19.7%	20.4%	2,623
0.75	8.9%	10.0%	2,623

Dogecoin · 최근 시세 0.0890

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	72.7%	77.5%	2,623
0.25	44.1%	49.1%	2,623
0.5	19.7%	20.4%	2,623
0.75	8.9%	10.0%	2,623

읽는 법: 각 셀은 세션 앵커에서 기간이 끝나기 전 ±d ATR에 가격이 닿을 확률 P다. 위쪽 절반과 아래쪽 절반으로 나뉜다. Live status는 그 수준을 데이터 피드의 오늘 고가/저가와 비교한다. 체크 표시는 오늘 이미 발생, 맥박 점은 세션이 아직 진행 중이고 아직 미발생, 빈 원은 세션이 끝났지만 발생하지 않음이다. Asymmetry는 P(up)에서 P(down)을 뺀 값이며, 각 방향이 닿는 빈도의 편차를 퍼센트포인트로 보여줄 뿐 거래 신호는 아니다.

지수 선물, 주식 섹터 그룹(ETFs / mega-caps / high-beta), 암호화폐 그룹(BTC & ETH / alt L1s)은 각각 하나의 확률 표면을 공유한다. 같은 그룹 안에서 숫자가 같으면 설계상 그런 것이지 버그가 아니다.