일간 확률 맵

스냅샷 08:08 ET세션 간 · NEW YORK 다음

추적 중인 각 시장의 touch probability를 15분마다 갱신한다. 셀에 마우스를 올리면 세부 정보를 보고, 시장 행을 클릭하면 해당 드로어를 연다.

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추적 시장

31 / 32

오늘 확정

아직 진행 중

176

마지막 갱신

스냅샷 08:01 ET

Futures Stocks FX Crypto

세션 기준점에서 ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR의 P(touch), 각 추적 futures 시장별.

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at the 09:30 ET session open — the feed's available session-range window may not start at exactly that instant, see methodology.

시장	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
E-mini S&P 500최근 7867.75	↑87.4% ↓85.9% 87% ✓86% +1.5pp	↑69.4% ↓67.4% 69% ✓67% +1.9pp	↑42.7% ↓43.0% 43% 43% -0.2pp	↑23.6% ↓27.0% 24% 27% -3.4pp	↑13.0% ↓16.4% 13% 16% -3.4pp	↑3.2% ↓6.1% 3% 6% -2.9pp
E-mini Nasdaq 100최근 30754.75	↑87.4% ↓85.9% 87% ✓86% +1.5pp	↑69.4% ↓67.4% 69% ✓67% +1.9pp	↑42.7% ↓43.0% 43% ✓43% -0.2pp	↑23.6% ↓27.0% 24% 27% -3.4pp	↑13.0% ↓16.4% 13% 16% -3.4pp	↑3.2% ↓6.1% 3% 6% -2.9pp
E-mini Dow최근 52084.00	↑87.4% ↓85.9% ✓87% 86% +1.5pp	↑69.4% ↓67.4% ✓69% 67% +1.9pp	↑42.7% ↓43.0% 43% 43% -0.2pp	↑23.6% ↓27.0% 24% 27% -3.4pp	↑13.0% ↓16.4% 13% 16% -3.4pp	↑3.2% ↓6.1% 3% 6% -2.9pp
E-mini Russell 2000최근 2804.30	↑87.4% ↓85.9% ✓87% ✓86% +1.5pp	↑69.4% ↓67.4% 69% 67% +1.9pp	↑42.7% ↓43.0% 43% 43% -0.2pp	↑23.6% ↓27.0% 24% 27% -3.4pp	↑13.0% ↓16.4% 13% 16% -3.4pp	↑3.2% ↓6.1% 3% 6% -2.9pp
Gold최근 4160.60	↑88.3% ↓87.5% ✓88% ✓87% +0.8pp	↑72.2% ↓71.3% 72% ✓71% +0.9pp	↑47.7% ↓47.9% 48% ✓48% -0.2pp	↑30.2% ↓30.8% 30% 31% -0.6pp	↑18.3% ↓19.5% 18% 20% -1.3pp	↑7.2% ↓7.6% 7% 8% -0.4pp
WTI Crude최근 95.91	↑87.2% ↓88.3% ✓87% ✓88% -1.1pp	↑69.4% ↓71.8% ✓69% ✓72% -2.5pp	↑44.7% ↓48.2% 45% 48% -3.5pp	↑27.2% ↓30.3% 27% 30% -3.1pp	↑15.7% ↓18.0% 16% 18% -2.4pp	↑4.5% ↓5.6% 4% 6% -1.1pp

E-mini S&P 500GoldWTI Crude

상승 방향 표시됨; 각 시장 드로어에는 전체 상승/하락 곡선이 있다.

E-mini S&P 500 · 최근 시세 7867.75

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	87.4%	85.9%	11,617
0.25	69.4%	67.4%	11,617
0.5	42.7%	43.0%	11,617
0.75	23.6%	27.0%	11,617
1	13.0%	16.4%	11,617
1.5	3.2%	6.1%	11,617

E-mini Nasdaq 100 · 최근 시세 30754.75

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	87.4%	85.9%	11,617
0.25	69.4%	67.4%	11,617
0.5	42.7%	43.0%	11,617
0.75	23.6%	27.0%	11,617
1	13.0%	16.4%	11,617
1.5	3.2%	6.1%	11,617

E-mini Dow · 최근 시세 52084.00

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	87.4%	85.9%	11,617
0.25	69.4%	67.4%	11,617
0.5	42.7%	43.0%	11,617
0.75	23.6%	27.0%	11,617
1	13.0%	16.4%	11,617
1.5	3.2%	6.1%	11,617

E-mini Russell 2000 · 최근 시세 2804.30

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	87.4%	85.9%	11,617
0.25	69.4%	67.4%	11,617
0.5	42.7%	43.0%	11,617
0.75	23.6%	27.0%	11,617
1	13.0%	16.4%	11,617
1.5	3.2%	6.1%	11,617

Gold · 최근 시세 4160.60

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	88.3%	87.5%	9,610
0.25	72.2%	71.3%	9,610
0.5	47.7%	47.9%	9,610
0.75	30.2%	30.8%	9,610
1	18.3%	19.5%	9,610
1.5	7.2%	7.6%	9,610

WTI Crude · 최근 시세 95.91

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	87.2%	88.3%	9,447
0.25	69.4%	71.8%	9,447
0.5	44.7%	48.2%	9,447
0.75	27.2%	30.3%	9,447
1	15.7%	18.0%	9,447
1.5	4.5%	5.6%	9,447

세션 기준점에서 ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR의 P(touch), 각 추적 stocks 시장별.

2020-2026의 과거 기간, 이 12개 종목은 사후 선택(ex-post, survivorship)되었습니다 — 보정은 무작위 종목이 아니라 이 종목들에 적용됩니다. 라이브 고정 스코어카드는 출시 시점부터 누적됩니다.

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at the 09:30 ET RTH open, matching the feed's session window for exchange-listed equities.

알려진 공백: No first-hit grid exists for stocks — brackets.json and width_bounds.json have no stock coverage; not yet measured.

시장	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
S&P 500 ETF (SPY)최근 778.01	↑85.7% ↓84.6% ✓86% ✓85% +1.1pp	↑66.8% ↓66.5% ✓67% ✓66% +0.4pp	↑40.8% ↓42.0% 41% 42% -1.2pp	↑21.5% ↓25.7% 22% 26% -4.2pp	↑9.5% ↓14.3% 10% 14% -4.8pp	↑1.9% ↓3.8% 2% 4% -1.8pp
Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ)최근 743.57	↑85.7% ↓84.6% ✓86% 85% +1.1pp	↑66.8% ↓66.5% ✓67% 66% +0.4pp	↑40.8% ↓42.0% ✓41% 42% -1.2pp	↑21.5% ↓25.7% 22% 26% -4.2pp	↑9.5% ↓14.3% 10% 14% -4.8pp	↑1.9% ↓3.8% 2% 4% -1.8pp
Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)최근 276.70	↑85.7% ↓84.6% ✓86% ✓85% +1.1pp	↑66.8% ↓66.5% 67% ✓66% +0.4pp	↑40.8% ↓42.0% 41% ✓42% -1.2pp	↑21.5% ↓25.7% 22% ✓26% -4.2pp	↑9.5% ↓14.3% 10% 14% -4.8pp	↑1.9% ↓3.8% 2% 4% -1.8pp
Apple최근 341.27	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% ✓87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% ✓67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% ✓42% ✓40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% 24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% 12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% 3% 3% -0.1pp
Microsoft최근 543.45	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% ✓87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% 67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% ✓42% 40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% 24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% 12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% 3% 3% -0.1pp
Nvidia최근 228.52	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% ✓87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% ✓67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% ✓42% 40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% ✓24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% 12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% 3% 3% -0.1pp
Amazon최근 258.58	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% ✓87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% 67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% ✓42% 40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% 24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% 12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% 3% 3% -0.1pp
Alphabet (GOOGL)최근 353.78	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% ✓87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% ✓67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% 42% ✓40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% 24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% 12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% 3% 3% -0.1pp
Meta Platforms최근 762.50	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% 87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% 67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% ✓42% 40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% ✓24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% ✓12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% ✓3% 3% -0.1pp
Tesla최근 375.23	↑86.0% ↓87.8% ✓86% 88% -1.8pp	↑66.7% ↓69.6% ✓67% 70% -2.9pp	↑39.9% ↓41.1% 40% 41% -1.2pp	↑23.3% ↓20.9% 23% 21% +2.4pp	↑12.9% ↓11.0% 13% 11% +1.9pp	↑3.9% ↓2.5% 4% 2% +1.5pp
AMD최근 605.53	↑86.0% ↓87.8% ✓86% ✓88% -1.8pp	↑66.7% ↓69.6% ✓67% ✓70% -2.9pp	↑39.9% ↓41.1% ✓40% 41% -1.2pp	↑23.3% ↓20.9% ✓23% 21% +2.4pp	↑12.9% ↓11.0% ✓13% 11% +1.9pp	↑3.9% ↓2.5% 4% 2% +1.5pp
Netflix최근 70.46	↑86.0% ↓87.8% ✓86% ✓88% -1.8pp	↑66.7% ↓69.6% ✓67% ✓70% -2.9pp	↑39.9% ↓41.1% 40% 41% -1.2pp	↑23.3% ↓20.9% 23% 21% +2.4pp	↑12.9% ↓11.0% 13% 11% +1.9pp	↑3.9% ↓2.5% 4% 2% +1.5pp

S&P 500 ETF (SPY)Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ)AppleNvidia

상승 방향 표시됨; 각 시장 드로어에는 전체 상승/하락 곡선이 있다.

S&P 500 ETF (SPY) · 최근 시세 778.01

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	85.7%	84.6%	1,861
0.25	66.8%	66.5%	1,861
0.5	40.8%	42.0%	1,861
0.75	21.5%	25.7%	1,861
1	9.5%	14.3%	1,861
1.5	1.9%	3.8%	1,861

Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) · 최근 시세 743.57

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	85.7%	84.6%	1,861
0.25	66.8%	66.5%	1,861
0.5	40.8%	42.0%	1,861
0.75	21.5%	25.7%	1,861
1	9.5%	14.3%	1,861
1.5	1.9%	3.8%	1,861

Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) · 최근 시세 276.70

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	85.7%	84.6%	1,861
0.25	66.8%	66.5%	1,861
0.5	40.8%	42.0%	1,861
0.75	21.5%	25.7%	1,861
1	9.5%	14.3%	1,861
1.5	1.9%	3.8%	1,861

Apple · 최근 시세 341.27

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Microsoft · 최근 시세 543.45

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Nvidia · 최근 시세 228.52

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Amazon · 최근 시세 258.58

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Alphabet (GOOGL) · 최근 시세 353.78

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Meta Platforms · 최근 시세 762.50

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Tesla · 최근 시세 375.23

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	86.0%	87.8%	1,152
0.25	66.7%	69.6%	1,152
0.5	39.9%	41.1%	1,152
0.75	23.3%	20.9%	1,152
1	12.9%	11.0%	1,152
1.5	3.9%	2.5%	1,152

AMD · 최근 시세 605.53

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	86.0%	87.8%	1,152
0.25	66.7%	69.6%	1,152
0.5	39.9%	41.1%	1,152
0.75	23.3%	20.9%	1,152
1	12.9%	11.0%	1,152
1.5	3.9%	2.5%	1,152

Netflix · 최근 시세 70.46

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	86.0%	87.8%	1,152
0.25	66.7%	69.6%	1,152
0.5	39.9%	41.1%	1,152
0.75	23.3%	20.9%	1,152
1	12.9%	11.0%	1,152
1.5	3.9%	2.5%	1,152

세션 기준점에서 ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR의 P(touch), 각 추적 fx 시장별.

Live touch/not-touched status isn't shown for FX: the data feed has no reliable 17:00 ET forex-day session open to anchor against, so we show probability only rather than guess.

알려진 공백: XAU (gold) is not yet measured for FX touch levels.

시장	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
EUR/USD최근 1.1197	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
GBP/USD최근 1.3266	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
USD/JPY최근 158.43	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
AUD/USD최근 0.7010	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
USD/CAD최근 1.4215	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
USD/CHF최근 0.8331	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
NZD/USD최근 0.5616	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
Gold spot (XAU/USD)	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —

EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPY

상승 방향 표시됨; 각 시장 드로어에는 전체 상승/하락 곡선이 있다.

EUR/USD · 최근 시세 1.1197

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

GBP/USD · 최근 시세 1.3266

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

USD/JPY · 최근 시세 158.43

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

AUD/USD · 최근 시세 0.7010

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

USD/CAD · 최근 시세 1.4215

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

USD/CHF · 최근 시세 0.8331

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

NZD/USD · 최근 시세 0.5616

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

Gold spot (XAU/USD)

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—
0.25	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—
0.5	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—
0.75	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—
1	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—
1.5	아직 측정 안 됨	아직 측정 안 됨	—

세션 기준점에서 ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 ATR의 P(touch), 각 추적 crypto 시장별.

주말은 더 한산합니다 — 확률이 달라져서 주말 수치를 따로 표시합니다.

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at 00:00 UTC (today's day type: weekday) — the feed's session-range window may not start exactly at that instant, see methodology. Weekends trade a measurably different, thinner regime, so weekday and weekend use separate probability curves.

알려진 공백: day_type=vse (pooled weekday+weekend) is not served — weekday and weekend are measurably different regimes, so the site must always pick the row matching today's UTC day type. Cells flagged rare in the source parquet (p<0.01 or p>0.99; 21.7% of all rows) are dropped entirely, not served — they render as 'not yet measured' the same as any other missing combo.

시장	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR
Bitcoin최근 83429.99	↑83.1% ↓80.7% ✓83% 81% +2.4pp	↑56.0% ↓55.7% ✓56% 56% +0.3pp	↑26.1% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.6pp	↑12.9% ↓15.0% 13% 15% -2.2pp
Ethereum최근 2503.01	↑83.1% ↓80.7% ✓83% ✓81% +2.4pp	↑56.0% ↓55.7% ✓56% 56% +0.3pp	↑26.1% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.6pp	↑12.9% ↓15.0% 13% 15% -2.2pp
Solana최근 107.16	↑79.5% ↓82.7% ✓80% ✓83% -3.1pp	↑53.6% ↓59.1% ✓54% 59% -5.4pp	↑26.4% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.3pp	↑12.8% ↓13.8% 13% 14% -0.9pp
Avalanche최근 10.20	↑79.5% ↓82.7% ✓80% ✓83% -3.1pp	↑53.6% ↓59.1% 54% 59% -5.4pp	↑26.4% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.3pp	↑12.8% ↓13.8% 13% 14% -0.9pp
Chainlink최근 12.90	↑79.5% ↓82.7% ✓80% 83% -3.1pp	↑53.6% ↓59.1% ✓54% 59% -5.4pp	↑26.4% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.3pp	↑12.8% ↓13.8% 13% 14% -0.9pp
Dogecoin최근 0.0844	↑79.5% ↓82.7% ✓80% ✓83% -3.1pp	↑53.6% ↓59.1% ✓54% 59% -5.4pp	↑26.4% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.3pp	↑12.8% ↓13.8% 13% 14% -0.9pp

BitcoinEthereumSolana

상승 방향 표시됨; 각 시장 드로어에는 전체 상승/하락 곡선이 있다.

Bitcoin · 최근 시세 83429.99

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	83.1%	80.7%	1,696
0.25	56.0%	55.7%	1,696
0.5	26.1%	27.7%	1,696
0.75	12.9%	15.0%	1,696

Ethereum · 최근 시세 2503.01

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	83.1%	80.7%	1,696
0.25	56.0%	55.7%	1,696
0.5	26.1%	27.7%	1,696
0.75	12.9%	15.0%	1,696

Solana · 최근 시세 107.16

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.5%	82.7%	2,622
0.25	53.6%	59.1%	2,622
0.5	26.4%	27.7%	2,622
0.75	12.8%	13.8%	2,622

Avalanche · 최근 시세 10.20

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.5%	82.7%	2,622
0.25	53.6%	59.1%	2,622
0.5	26.4%	27.7%	2,622
0.75	12.8%	13.8%	2,622

Chainlink · 최근 시세 12.90

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.5%	82.7%	2,622
0.25	53.6%	59.1%	2,622
0.5	26.4%	27.7%	2,622
0.75	12.8%	13.8%	2,622

Dogecoin · 최근 시세 0.0844

거리(ATR)	P(touch up)	P(하방 터치)	n
0.1	79.5%	82.7%	2,622
0.25	53.6%	59.1%	2,622
0.5	26.4%	27.7%	2,622
0.75	12.8%	13.8%	2,622

읽는 법: 각 셀은 세션 앵커에서 기간이 끝나기 전 ±d ATR에 가격이 닿을 확률 P다. 위쪽 절반과 아래쪽 절반으로 나뉜다. Live status는 그 수준을 데이터 피드의 오늘 고가/저가와 비교한다. 체크 표시는 오늘 이미 발생, 맥박 점은 세션이 아직 진행 중이고 아직 미발생, 빈 원은 세션이 끝났지만 발생하지 않음이다. Asymmetry는 P(up)에서 P(down)을 뺀 값이며, 각 방향이 닿는 빈도의 편차를 퍼센트포인트로 보여줄 뿐 거래 신호는 아니다.

지수 선물, 주식 섹터 그룹(ETFs / mega-caps / high-beta), 암호화폐 그룹(BTC & ETH / alt L1s)은 각각 하나의 확률 표면을 공유한다. 같은 그룹 안에서 숫자가 같으면 설계상 그런 것이지 버그가 아니다.