日次確率マップ

SNAPSHOT 11:15 ETNEW YORK セッション

追跡中の各市場のタッチ確率を15分ごとに更新。セルにホバーすると詳細、行をクリックするとドロワーを開く。

Measured odds. No trade calls. what this means →

追跡数

31 / 32

今日解決した水準

107

まだライブ

157

最終更新

SNAPSHOT 11:00 ET

Futures Stocks FX Crypto

各追跡 futures 市場について、セッション基準点から ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR の P(touch)。

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at the 09:30 ET session open — the feed's available session-range window may not start at exactly that instant, see methodology.

市場	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
E-mini S&P 500直近 7675.50	↑82.6% ↓76.4% ✓83% ✓76% +6.1pp	↑58.4% ↓51.6% ✓58% ✓52% +6.8pp	↑27.9% ↓27.9% ✓28% 28% +0.0pp	↑12.0% ↓15.1% 12% 15% -3.1pp	↑5.1% ↓7.7% 5% 8% -2.6pp	↑1.2% ↓2.5% 1% 3% -1.3pp
E-mini Nasdaq 100直近 29216.75	↑82.6% ↓76.4% ✓83% ✓76% +6.1pp	↑58.4% ↓51.6% ✓58% ✓52% +6.8pp	↑27.9% ↓27.9% ✓28% 28% +0.0pp	↑12.0% ↓15.1% 12% 15% -3.1pp	↑5.1% ↓7.7% 5% 8% -2.6pp	↑1.2% ↓2.5% 1% 3% -1.3pp
E-mini Dow直近 53482.00	↑82.6% ↓76.4% ✓83% ✓76% +6.1pp	↑58.4% ↓51.6% ✓58% 52% +6.8pp	↑27.9% ↓27.9% ✓28% 28% +0.0pp	↑12.0% ↓15.1% ✓12% 15% -3.1pp	↑5.1% ↓7.7% 5% 8% -2.6pp	↑1.2% ↓2.5% 1% 3% -1.3pp
E-mini Russell 2000直近 3009.40	↑82.6% ↓76.4% ✓83% ✓76% +6.1pp	↑58.4% ↓51.6% ✓58% 52% +6.8pp	↑27.9% ↓27.9% ✓28% 28% +0.0pp	↑12.0% ↓15.1% 12% 15% -3.1pp	↑5.1% ↓7.7% 5% 8% -2.6pp	↑1.2% ↓2.5% 1% 3% -1.3pp
Gold直近 4692.60	↑79.2% ↓79.4% ✓79% ✓79% -0.1pp	↑52.7% ↓53.6% ✓53% ✓54% -0.9pp	↑24.9% ↓26.0% 25% ✓26% -1.1pp	↑11.3% ↓12.6% 11% 13% -1.3pp	↑5.6% ↓6.5% 6% 7% -1.0pp	↑1.5% ↓2.0% 2% 2% -0.5pp
WTI Crude直近 82.45	↑80.9% ↓81.2% 81% ✓81% -0.2pp	↑57.0% ↓58.1% 57% ✓58% -1.1pp	↑28.4% ↓29.5% 28% ✓29% -1.0pp	↑13.8% ↓14.5% 14% ✓14% -0.7pp	↑6.3% ↓6.9% 6% ✓7% -0.7pp	↑1.4% ↓1.5% 1% ✓2% -0.1pp

E-mini S&P 500GoldWTI Crude

上方向のみ表示。各市場のドロワーに上下両方の完全な曲線あり。

E-mini S&P 500 · 直近値 7675.50

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	82.6%	76.4%	11,653
0.25	58.4%	51.6%	11,653
0.5	27.9%	27.9%	11,653
0.75	12.0%	15.1%	11,653
1	5.1%	7.7%	11,653
1.5	1.2%	2.5%	11,653

E-mini Nasdaq 100 · 直近値 29216.75

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	82.6%	76.4%	11,653
0.25	58.4%	51.6%	11,653
0.5	27.9%	27.9%	11,653
0.75	12.0%	15.1%	11,653
1	5.1%	7.7%	11,653
1.5	1.2%	2.5%	11,653

E-mini Dow · 直近値 53482.00

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	82.6%	76.4%	11,653
0.25	58.4%	51.6%	11,653
0.5	27.9%	27.9%	11,653
0.75	12.0%	15.1%	11,653
1	5.1%	7.7%	11,653
1.5	1.2%	2.5%	11,653

E-mini Russell 2000 · 直近値 3009.40

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	82.6%	76.4%	11,653
0.25	58.4%	51.6%	11,653
0.5	27.9%	27.9%	11,653
0.75	12.0%	15.1%	11,653
1	5.1%	7.7%	11,653
1.5	1.2%	2.5%	11,653

Gold · 直近値 4692.60

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.2%	79.4%	9,626
0.25	52.7%	53.6%	9,626
0.5	24.9%	26.0%	9,626
0.75	11.3%	12.6%	9,626
1	5.6%	6.5%	9,626
1.5	1.5%	2.0%	9,626

WTI Crude · 直近値 82.45

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	80.9%	81.2%	9,568
0.25	57.0%	58.1%	9,568
0.5	28.4%	29.5%	9,568
0.75	13.8%	14.5%	9,568
1	6.3%	6.9%	9,568
1.5	1.4%	1.5%	9,568

各追跡 stocks 市場について、セッション基準点から ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR の P(touch)。

履歴期間は2020-2026。この12銘柄は事後選定（survivorship）です。較正はランダムな株ではなく、この銘柄群に適用されます。ライブの凍結スコアカードは公開開始時点から累積します。

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at the 09:30 ET RTH open, matching the feed's session window for exchange-listed equities.

既知の欠落: No first-hit grid exists for stocks — brackets.json and width_bounds.json have no stock coverage; not yet measured.

市場	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
S&P 500 ETF (SPY)直近 764.72	↑85.7% ↓78.2% ✓86% ✓78% +7.5pp	↑58.0% ↓52.5% 58% ✓53% +5.5pp	↑24.5% ↓27.2% 25% ✓27% -2.7pp	↑10.2% ↓14.0% 10% 14% -3.8pp	↑4.0% ↓6.5% 4% 6% -2.5pp	↑0.9% ↓1.9% 1% 2% -1.0pp
Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ)直近 709.69	↑85.7% ↓78.2% ✓86% ✓78% +7.5pp	↑58.0% ↓52.5% ✓58% ✓53% +5.5pp	↑24.5% ↓27.2% 25% 27% -2.7pp	↑10.2% ↓14.0% 10% 14% -3.8pp	↑4.0% ↓6.5% 4% 6% -2.5pp	↑0.9% ↓1.9% 1% 2% -1.0pp
Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)直近 298.99	↑85.7% ↓78.2% 86% ✓78% +7.5pp	↑58.0% ↓52.5% 58% ✓53% +5.5pp	↑24.5% ↓27.2% 25% ✓27% -2.7pp	↑10.2% ↓14.0% 10% 14% -3.8pp	↑4.0% ↓6.5% 4% 6% -2.5pp	↑0.9% ↓1.9% 1% 2% -1.0pp
Apple直近 309.11	↑81.3% ↓78.2% ✓81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% ✓54% ✓51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% 24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% 9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Microsoft直近 489.26	↑81.3% ↓78.2% ✓81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% ✓54% 51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% 24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% 9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Nvidia直近 211.03	↑81.3% ↓78.2% ✓81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% ✓54% 51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% ✓24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% ✓9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Amazon直近 260.89	↑81.3% ↓78.2% ✓81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% 54% ✓51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% 24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% 9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Alphabet (GOOGL)直近 346.16	↑81.3% ↓78.2% 81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% 54% ✓51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% 24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% 9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Meta Platforms直近 564.05	↑81.3% ↓78.2% ✓81% ✓78% +3.0pp	↑54.1% ↓51.0% ✓54% 51% +3.1pp	↑23.6% ↓22.8% 24% 23% +0.8pp	↑9.3% ↓9.8% 9% 10% -0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓4.0% 3% 4% -0.7pp	↑0.8% ↓0.6% 1% 1% +0.2pp
Tesla直近 350.93	↑80.9% ↓77.8% ✓81% ✓78% +3.1pp	↑54.0% ↓50.3% 54% 50% +3.7pp	↑22.5% ↓20.5% 22% 21% +1.9pp	↑7.5% ↓7.1% 8% 7% +0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓2.0% 3% 2% +1.3pp	↑0.5% ↓0.3% 1% 0% +0.3pp
AMD直近 478.50	↑80.9% ↓77.8% ✓81% ✓78% +3.1pp	↑54.0% ↓50.3% 54% ✓50% +3.7pp	↑22.5% ↓20.5% 22% 21% +1.9pp	↑7.5% ↓7.1% 8% 7% +0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓2.0% 3% 2% +1.3pp	↑0.5% ↓0.3% 1% 0% +0.3pp
Netflix直近 81.04	↑80.9% ↓77.8% ✓81% ✓78% +3.1pp	↑54.0% ↓50.3% ✓54% 50% +3.7pp	↑22.5% ↓20.5% ✓22% 21% +1.9pp	↑7.5% ↓7.1% ✓8% 7% +0.4pp	↑3.3% ↓2.0% ✓3% 2% +1.3pp	↑0.5% ↓0.3% 1% 0% +0.3pp

S&P 500 ETF (SPY)Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ)AppleNvidia

上方向のみ表示。各市場のドロワーに上下両方の完全な曲線あり。

S&P 500 ETF (SPY) · 直近値 764.72

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	85.7%	78.2%	1,861
0.25	58.0%	52.5%	1,861
0.5	24.5%	27.2%	1,861
0.75	10.2%	14.0%	1,861
1	4.0%	6.5%	1,861
1.5	0.9%	1.9%	1,861

Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) · 直近値 709.69

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	85.7%	78.2%	1,861
0.25	58.0%	52.5%	1,861
0.5	24.5%	27.2%	1,861
0.75	10.2%	14.0%	1,861
1	4.0%	6.5%	1,861
1.5	0.9%	1.9%	1,861

Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) · 直近値 298.99

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	85.7%	78.2%	1,861
0.25	58.0%	52.5%	1,861
0.5	24.5%	27.2%	1,861
0.75	10.2%	14.0%	1,861
1	4.0%	6.5%	1,861
1.5	0.9%	1.9%	1,861

Apple · 直近値 309.11

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Microsoft · 直近値 489.26

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Nvidia · 直近値 211.03

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Amazon · 直近値 260.89

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Alphabet (GOOGL) · 直近値 346.16

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Meta Platforms · 直近値 564.05

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	81.3%	78.2%	4,354
0.25	54.1%	51.0%	4,354
0.5	23.6%	22.8%	4,354
0.75	9.3%	9.8%	4,354
1	3.3%	4.0%	4,354
1.5	0.8%	0.6%	4,354

Tesla · 直近値 350.93

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	80.9%	77.8%	1,152
0.25	54.0%	50.3%	1,152
0.5	22.5%	20.5%	1,152
0.75	7.5%	7.1%	1,152
1	3.3%	2.0%	1,152
1.5	0.5%	0.3%	1,152

AMD · 直近値 478.50

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	80.9%	77.8%	1,152
0.25	54.0%	50.3%	1,152
0.5	22.5%	20.5%	1,152
0.75	7.5%	7.1%	1,152
1	3.3%	2.0%	1,152
1.5	0.5%	0.3%	1,152

Netflix · 直近値 81.04

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	80.9%	77.8%	1,152
0.25	54.0%	50.3%	1,152
0.5	22.5%	20.5%	1,152
0.75	7.5%	7.1%	1,152
1	3.3%	2.0%	1,152
1.5	0.5%	0.3%	1,152

各追跡 fx 市場について、セッション基準点から ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR の P(touch)。

Live touch/not-touched status isn't shown for FX: the data feed has no reliable 17:00 ET forex-day session open to anchor against, so we show probability only rather than guess.

既知の欠落: XAU is not present in touch_surface_fx_v1 (scopes available: fx_majors, fx_cross, all_fx, cfd_ostatni) — not yet measured.

市場	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
EUR/USD直近 1.1673	↑66.0% ↓65.4% —66% —65% +0.6pp	↑29.9% ↓29.0% —30% —29% +0.9pp	↑8.0% ↓8.0% —8% —8% +0.0pp	↑2.8% ↓2.8% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.4% ↓1.3% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.0pp
GBP/USD直近 1.3634	↑66.0% ↓65.4% —66% —65% +0.6pp	↑29.9% ↓29.0% —30% —29% +0.9pp	↑8.0% ↓8.0% —8% —8% +0.0pp	↑2.8% ↓2.8% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.4% ↓1.3% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.0pp
USD/JPY直近 159.25	↑66.0% ↓65.4% —66% —65% +0.6pp	↑29.9% ↓29.0% —30% —29% +0.9pp	↑8.0% ↓8.0% —8% —8% +0.0pp	↑2.8% ↓2.8% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.4% ↓1.3% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.0pp
AUD/USD直近 0.7159	↑66.0% ↓65.4% —66% —65% +0.6pp	↑29.9% ↓29.0% —30% —29% +0.9pp	↑8.0% ↓8.0% —8% —8% +0.0pp	↑2.8% ↓2.8% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.4% ↓1.3% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.0pp
USD/CAD直近 1.3834	↑66.0% ↓65.4% —66% —65% +0.6pp	↑29.9% ↓29.0% —30% —29% +0.9pp	↑8.0% ↓8.0% —8% —8% +0.0pp	↑2.8% ↓2.8% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.4% ↓1.3% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.0pp
USD/CHF直近 0.8027	↑66.0% ↓65.4% —66% —65% +0.6pp	↑29.9% ↓29.0% —30% —29% +0.9pp	↑8.0% ↓8.0% —8% —8% +0.0pp	↑2.8% ↓2.8% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.4% ↓1.3% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.0pp
NZD/USD直近 0.5971	↑66.0% ↓65.4% —66% —65% +0.6pp	↑29.9% ↓29.0% —30% —29% +0.9pp	↑8.0% ↓8.0% —8% —8% +0.0pp	↑2.8% ↓2.8% —3% —3% -0.1pp	↑1.4% ↓1.3% —1% —1% +0.1pp	↑0.4% ↓0.4% —0% —0% -0.0pp
Gold spot (XAU/USD)	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —

EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPY

上方向のみ表示。各市場のドロワーに上下両方の完全な曲線あり。

EUR/USD · 直近値 1.1673

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	66.0%	65.4%	8,523
0.25	29.9%	29.0%	8,523
0.5	8.0%	8.0%	8,523
0.75	2.8%	2.8%	8,523
1	1.4%	1.3%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

GBP/USD · 直近値 1.3634

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	66.0%	65.4%	8,523
0.25	29.9%	29.0%	8,523
0.5	8.0%	8.0%	8,523
0.75	2.8%	2.8%	8,523
1	1.4%	1.3%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

USD/JPY · 直近値 159.25

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	66.0%	65.4%	8,523
0.25	29.9%	29.0%	8,523
0.5	8.0%	8.0%	8,523
0.75	2.8%	2.8%	8,523
1	1.4%	1.3%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

AUD/USD · 直近値 0.7159

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	66.0%	65.4%	8,523
0.25	29.9%	29.0%	8,523
0.5	8.0%	8.0%	8,523
0.75	2.8%	2.8%	8,523
1	1.4%	1.3%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

USD/CAD · 直近値 1.3834

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	66.0%	65.4%	8,523
0.25	29.9%	29.0%	8,523
0.5	8.0%	8.0%	8,523
0.75	2.8%	2.8%	8,523
1	1.4%	1.3%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

USD/CHF · 直近値 0.8027

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	66.0%	65.4%	8,523
0.25	29.9%	29.0%	8,523
0.5	8.0%	8.0%	8,523
0.75	2.8%	2.8%	8,523
1	1.4%	1.3%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

NZD/USD · 直近値 0.5971

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	66.0%	65.4%	8,523
0.25	29.9%	29.0%	8,523
0.5	8.0%	8.0%	8,523
0.75	2.8%	2.8%	8,523
1	1.4%	1.3%	8,523
1.5	0.4%	0.4%	8,523

Gold spot (XAU/USD)

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	未測定	未測定	—
0.25	未測定	未測定	—
0.5	未測定	未測定	—
0.75	未測定	未測定	—
1	未測定	未測定	—
1.5	未測定	未測定	—

各追跡 crypto 市場について、セッション基準点から ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 ATR の P(touch)。

週末は静かです。oddsは変わるため、週末用の数値を別に表示します。

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at 00:00 UTC (today's day type: weekday) — the feed's session-range window may not start exactly at that instant, see methodology. Weekends trade a measurably different, thinner regime, so weekday and weekend use separate probability curves.

既知の欠落: day_type=vse (pooled weekday+weekend) is not served — weekday and weekend are measurably different regimes, so the site must always pick the row matching today's UTC day type. Cells flagged rare in the source parquet (p<0.01 or p>0.99; 21.7% of all rows) are dropped entirely, not served — they render as 'not yet measured' the same as any other missing combo.

市場	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR
Bitcoin直近 79232.73	↑76.0% ↓76.2% ✓76% ✓76% -0.2pp	↑45.7% ↓46.3% ✓46% ✓46% -0.6pp	↑19.3% ↓20.6% ✓19% 21% -1.3pp	↑9.2% ↓10.0% ✓9% 10% -0.8pp
Ethereum直近 2476.97	↑76.0% ↓76.2% ✓76% ✓76% -0.2pp	↑45.7% ↓46.3% ✓46% ✓46% -0.6pp	↑19.3% ↓20.6% ✓19% 21% -1.3pp	↑9.2% ↓10.0% 9% 10% -0.8pp
Solana直近 98.20	↑72.7% ↓77.5% ✓73% ✓78% -4.8pp	↑44.1% ↓49.1% ✓44% ✓49% -5.0pp	↑19.7% ↓20.4% ✓20% ✓20% -0.7pp	↑8.9% ↓10.0% ✓9% 10% -1.0pp
Avalanche直近 7.4950	↑72.7% ↓77.5% ✓73% ✓78% -4.8pp	↑44.1% ↓49.1% ✓44% ✓49% -5.0pp	↑19.7% ↓20.4% ✓20% ✓20% -0.7pp	↑8.9% ↓10.0% 9% 10% -1.0pp
Chainlink直近 11.59	↑72.7% ↓77.5% ✓73% ✓78% -4.8pp	↑44.1% ↓49.1% ✓44% ✓49% -5.0pp	↑19.7% ↓20.4% ✓20% 20% -0.7pp	↑8.9% ↓10.0% 9% 10% -1.0pp
Dogecoin直近 0.0890	↑72.7% ↓77.5% ✓73% ✓78% -4.8pp	↑44.1% ↓49.1% ✓44% ✓49% -5.0pp	↑19.7% ↓20.4% ✓20% ✓20% -0.7pp	↑8.9% ↓10.0% 9% 10% -1.0pp

BitcoinEthereumSolana

上方向のみ表示。各市場のドロワーに上下両方の完全な曲線あり。

Bitcoin · 直近値 79232.73

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	76.0%	76.2%	1,698
0.25	45.7%	46.3%	1,698
0.5	19.3%	20.6%	1,698
0.75	9.2%	10.0%	1,698

Ethereum · 直近値 2476.97

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	76.0%	76.2%	1,698
0.25	45.7%	46.3%	1,698
0.5	19.3%	20.6%	1,698
0.75	9.2%	10.0%	1,698

Solana · 直近値 98.20

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	72.7%	77.5%	2,623
0.25	44.1%	49.1%	2,623
0.5	19.7%	20.4%	2,623
0.75	8.9%	10.0%	2,623

Avalanche · 直近値 7.4950

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	72.7%	77.5%	2,623
0.25	44.1%	49.1%	2,623
0.5	19.7%	20.4%	2,623
0.75	8.9%	10.0%	2,623

Chainlink · 直近値 11.59

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	72.7%	77.5%	2,623
0.25	44.1%	49.1%	2,623
0.5	19.7%	20.4%	2,623
0.75	8.9%	10.0%	2,623

Dogecoin · 直近値 0.0890

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	72.7%	77.5%	2,623
0.25	44.1%	49.1%	2,623
0.5	19.7%	20.4%	2,623
0.75	8.9%	10.0%	2,623

読み方: 各セルは、セッション基準点からその時間軸が終わる前に価格が ±d ATR に触れる確率を、上半分と下半分に分けたもの。ライブ状態はその水準を今日の実際の高値/安値と比較する。チェックマークは今日すでに発生、点滅ドットはセッション進行中で未発生、空円はセッション終了まで未発生。非対称性は P(up) minus P(down) をパーセントポイントで示す。各側がどれだけ触れられるかの偏りで、売買シグナルではない。

指数先物、株式セクター群（ETFs / mega-caps / high-beta）と暗号資産群（BTC & ETH / alt L1s）は、それぞれ1つの確率面を共有する。同じグループ内で数値が一致するのは仕様であり、バグではない。