日次確率マップ

SNAPSHOT 08:08 ETセッション間 · NEW YORK 次

追跡中の各市場のタッチ確率を15分ごとに更新。セルにホバーすると詳細、行をクリックするとドロワーを開く。

方向性の call ではなく、確率マップ。意味 →

追跡数

31 / 32

今日解決した水準

まだライブ

176

最終更新

SNAPSHOT 08:01 ET

Futures Stocks FX Crypto

各追跡 futures 市場について、セッション基準点から ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR の P(touch)。

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at the 09:30 ET session open — the feed's available session-range window may not start at exactly that instant, see methodology.

市場	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
E-mini S&P 500直近 7867.75	↑87.4% ↓85.9% 87% ✓86% +1.5pp	↑69.4% ↓67.4% 69% ✓67% +1.9pp	↑42.7% ↓43.0% 43% 43% -0.2pp	↑23.6% ↓27.0% 24% 27% -3.4pp	↑13.0% ↓16.4% 13% 16% -3.4pp	↑3.2% ↓6.1% 3% 6% -2.9pp
E-mini Nasdaq 100直近 30754.75	↑87.4% ↓85.9% 87% ✓86% +1.5pp	↑69.4% ↓67.4% 69% ✓67% +1.9pp	↑42.7% ↓43.0% 43% ✓43% -0.2pp	↑23.6% ↓27.0% 24% 27% -3.4pp	↑13.0% ↓16.4% 13% 16% -3.4pp	↑3.2% ↓6.1% 3% 6% -2.9pp
E-mini Dow直近 52084.00	↑87.4% ↓85.9% ✓87% 86% +1.5pp	↑69.4% ↓67.4% ✓69% 67% +1.9pp	↑42.7% ↓43.0% 43% 43% -0.2pp	↑23.6% ↓27.0% 24% 27% -3.4pp	↑13.0% ↓16.4% 13% 16% -3.4pp	↑3.2% ↓6.1% 3% 6% -2.9pp
E-mini Russell 2000直近 2804.30	↑87.4% ↓85.9% ✓87% ✓86% +1.5pp	↑69.4% ↓67.4% 69% 67% +1.9pp	↑42.7% ↓43.0% 43% 43% -0.2pp	↑23.6% ↓27.0% 24% 27% -3.4pp	↑13.0% ↓16.4% 13% 16% -3.4pp	↑3.2% ↓6.1% 3% 6% -2.9pp
Gold直近 4160.60	↑88.3% ↓87.5% ✓88% ✓87% +0.8pp	↑72.2% ↓71.3% 72% ✓71% +0.9pp	↑47.7% ↓47.9% 48% ✓48% -0.2pp	↑30.2% ↓30.8% 30% 31% -0.6pp	↑18.3% ↓19.5% 18% 20% -1.3pp	↑7.2% ↓7.6% 7% 8% -0.4pp
WTI Crude直近 95.91	↑87.2% ↓88.3% ✓87% ✓88% -1.1pp	↑69.4% ↓71.8% ✓69% ✓72% -2.5pp	↑44.7% ↓48.2% 45% 48% -3.5pp	↑27.2% ↓30.3% 27% 30% -3.1pp	↑15.7% ↓18.0% 16% 18% -2.4pp	↑4.5% ↓5.6% 4% 6% -1.1pp

E-mini S&P 500GoldWTI Crude

上方向のみ表示。各市場のドロワーに上下両方の完全な曲線あり。

E-mini S&P 500 · 直近値 7867.75

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	87.4%	85.9%	11,617
0.25	69.4%	67.4%	11,617
0.5	42.7%	43.0%	11,617
0.75	23.6%	27.0%	11,617
1	13.0%	16.4%	11,617
1.5	3.2%	6.1%	11,617

E-mini Nasdaq 100 · 直近値 30754.75

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	87.4%	85.9%	11,617
0.25	69.4%	67.4%	11,617
0.5	42.7%	43.0%	11,617
0.75	23.6%	27.0%	11,617
1	13.0%	16.4%	11,617
1.5	3.2%	6.1%	11,617

E-mini Dow · 直近値 52084.00

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	87.4%	85.9%	11,617
0.25	69.4%	67.4%	11,617
0.5	42.7%	43.0%	11,617
0.75	23.6%	27.0%	11,617
1	13.0%	16.4%	11,617
1.5	3.2%	6.1%	11,617

E-mini Russell 2000 · 直近値 2804.30

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	87.4%	85.9%	11,617
0.25	69.4%	67.4%	11,617
0.5	42.7%	43.0%	11,617
0.75	23.6%	27.0%	11,617
1	13.0%	16.4%	11,617
1.5	3.2%	6.1%	11,617

Gold · 直近値 4160.60

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	88.3%	87.5%	9,610
0.25	72.2%	71.3%	9,610
0.5	47.7%	47.9%	9,610
0.75	30.2%	30.8%	9,610
1	18.3%	19.5%	9,610
1.5	7.2%	7.6%	9,610

WTI Crude · 直近値 95.91

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	87.2%	88.3%	9,447
0.25	69.4%	71.8%	9,447
0.5	44.7%	48.2%	9,447
0.75	27.2%	30.3%	9,447
1	15.7%	18.0%	9,447
1.5	4.5%	5.6%	9,447

各追跡 stocks 市場について、セッション基準点から ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR の P(touch)。

履歴期間は2020-2026。この12銘柄は事後選定（survivorship）です。較正はランダムな株ではなく、この銘柄群に適用されます。ライブの凍結スコアカードは公開開始時点から累積します。

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at the 09:30 ET RTH open, matching the feed's session window for exchange-listed equities.

既知の欠落: No first-hit grid exists for stocks — brackets.json and width_bounds.json have no stock coverage; not yet measured.

市場	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
S&P 500 ETF (SPY)直近 778.01	↑85.7% ↓84.6% ✓86% ✓85% +1.1pp	↑66.8% ↓66.5% ✓67% ✓66% +0.4pp	↑40.8% ↓42.0% 41% 42% -1.2pp	↑21.5% ↓25.7% 22% 26% -4.2pp	↑9.5% ↓14.3% 10% 14% -4.8pp	↑1.9% ↓3.8% 2% 4% -1.8pp
Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ)直近 743.57	↑85.7% ↓84.6% ✓86% 85% +1.1pp	↑66.8% ↓66.5% ✓67% 66% +0.4pp	↑40.8% ↓42.0% ✓41% 42% -1.2pp	↑21.5% ↓25.7% 22% 26% -4.2pp	↑9.5% ↓14.3% 10% 14% -4.8pp	↑1.9% ↓3.8% 2% 4% -1.8pp
Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)直近 276.70	↑85.7% ↓84.6% ✓86% ✓85% +1.1pp	↑66.8% ↓66.5% 67% ✓66% +0.4pp	↑40.8% ↓42.0% 41% ✓42% -1.2pp	↑21.5% ↓25.7% 22% ✓26% -4.2pp	↑9.5% ↓14.3% 10% 14% -4.8pp	↑1.9% ↓3.8% 2% 4% -1.8pp
Apple直近 341.27	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% ✓87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% ✓67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% ✓42% ✓40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% 24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% 12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% 3% 3% -0.1pp
Microsoft直近 543.45	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% ✓87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% 67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% ✓42% 40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% 24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% 12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% 3% 3% -0.1pp
Nvidia直近 228.52	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% ✓87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% ✓67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% ✓42% 40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% ✓24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% 12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% 3% 3% -0.1pp
Amazon直近 258.58	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% ✓87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% 67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% ✓42% 40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% 24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% 12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% 3% 3% -0.1pp
Alphabet (GOOGL)直近 353.78	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% ✓87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% ✓67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% 42% ✓40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% 24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% 12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% 3% 3% -0.1pp
Meta Platforms直近 762.50	↑86.5% ↓86.9% ✓87% 87% -0.4pp	↑68.1% ↓66.8% ✓68% 67% +1.3pp	↑41.8% ↓39.7% ✓42% 40% +2.1pp	↑23.7% ↓21.8% ✓24% 22% +1.9pp	↑11.9% ↓11.1% ✓12% 11% +0.7pp	↑2.8% ↓2.9% ✓3% 3% -0.1pp
Tesla直近 375.23	↑86.0% ↓87.8% ✓86% 88% -1.8pp	↑66.7% ↓69.6% ✓67% 70% -2.9pp	↑39.9% ↓41.1% 40% 41% -1.2pp	↑23.3% ↓20.9% 23% 21% +2.4pp	↑12.9% ↓11.0% 13% 11% +1.9pp	↑3.9% ↓2.5% 4% 2% +1.5pp
AMD直近 605.53	↑86.0% ↓87.8% ✓86% ✓88% -1.8pp	↑66.7% ↓69.6% ✓67% ✓70% -2.9pp	↑39.9% ↓41.1% ✓40% 41% -1.2pp	↑23.3% ↓20.9% ✓23% 21% +2.4pp	↑12.9% ↓11.0% ✓13% 11% +1.9pp	↑3.9% ↓2.5% 4% 2% +1.5pp
Netflix直近 70.46	↑86.0% ↓87.8% ✓86% ✓88% -1.8pp	↑66.7% ↓69.6% ✓67% ✓70% -2.9pp	↑39.9% ↓41.1% 40% 41% -1.2pp	↑23.3% ↓20.9% 23% 21% +2.4pp	↑12.9% ↓11.0% 13% 11% +1.9pp	↑3.9% ↓2.5% 4% 2% +1.5pp

S&P 500 ETF (SPY)Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ)AppleNvidia

上方向のみ表示。各市場のドロワーに上下両方の完全な曲線あり。

S&P 500 ETF (SPY) · 直近値 778.01

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	85.7%	84.6%	1,861
0.25	66.8%	66.5%	1,861
0.5	40.8%	42.0%	1,861
0.75	21.5%	25.7%	1,861
1	9.5%	14.3%	1,861
1.5	1.9%	3.8%	1,861

Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) · 直近値 743.57

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	85.7%	84.6%	1,861
0.25	66.8%	66.5%	1,861
0.5	40.8%	42.0%	1,861
0.75	21.5%	25.7%	1,861
1	9.5%	14.3%	1,861
1.5	1.9%	3.8%	1,861

Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) · 直近値 276.70

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	85.7%	84.6%	1,861
0.25	66.8%	66.5%	1,861
0.5	40.8%	42.0%	1,861
0.75	21.5%	25.7%	1,861
1	9.5%	14.3%	1,861
1.5	1.9%	3.8%	1,861

Apple · 直近値 341.27

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Microsoft · 直近値 543.45

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Nvidia · 直近値 228.52

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Amazon · 直近値 258.58

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Alphabet (GOOGL) · 直近値 353.78

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Meta Platforms · 直近値 762.50

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	86.5%	86.9%	4,354
0.25	68.1%	66.8%	4,354
0.5	41.8%	39.7%	4,354
0.75	23.7%	21.8%	4,354
1	11.9%	11.1%	4,354
1.5	2.8%	2.9%	4,354

Tesla · 直近値 375.23

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	86.0%	87.8%	1,152
0.25	66.7%	69.6%	1,152
0.5	39.9%	41.1%	1,152
0.75	23.3%	20.9%	1,152
1	12.9%	11.0%	1,152
1.5	3.9%	2.5%	1,152

AMD · 直近値 605.53

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	86.0%	87.8%	1,152
0.25	66.7%	69.6%	1,152
0.5	39.9%	41.1%	1,152
0.75	23.3%	20.9%	1,152
1	12.9%	11.0%	1,152
1.5	3.9%	2.5%	1,152

Netflix · 直近値 70.46

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	86.0%	87.8%	1,152
0.25	66.7%	69.6%	1,152
0.5	39.9%	41.1%	1,152
0.75	23.3%	20.9%	1,152
1	12.9%	11.0%	1,152
1.5	3.9%	2.5%	1,152

各追跡 fx 市場について、セッション基準点から ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 / 1 / 1.5 ATR の P(touch)。

Live touch/not-touched status isn't shown for FX: the data feed has no reliable 17:00 ET forex-day session open to anchor against, so we show probability only rather than guess.

既知の欠落: XAU (gold) is not yet measured for FX touch levels.

市場	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR	±1 ATR	±1.5 ATR
EUR/USD直近 1.1197	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
GBP/USD直近 1.3266	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
USD/JPY直近 158.43	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
AUD/USD直近 0.7010	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
USD/CAD直近 1.4215	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
USD/CHF直近 0.8331	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
NZD/USD直近 0.5616	↑79.7% ↓78.5% —80% —78% +1.2pp	↑52.6% ↓52.4% —53% —52% +0.2pp	↑23.9% ↓24.0% —24% —24% -0.1pp	↑10.1% ↓10.5% —10% —10% -0.4pp	↑4.6% ↓4.8% —5% —5% -0.2pp	↑1.1% ↓1.2% —1% —1% -0.1pp
Gold spot (XAU/USD)	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —	— — — — —

EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPY

上方向のみ表示。各市場のドロワーに上下両方の完全な曲線あり。

EUR/USD · 直近値 1.1197

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

GBP/USD · 直近値 1.3266

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

USD/JPY · 直近値 158.43

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

AUD/USD · 直近値 0.7010

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

USD/CAD · 直近値 1.4215

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

USD/CHF · 直近値 0.8331

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

NZD/USD · 直近値 0.5616

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.7%	78.5%	8,521
0.25	52.6%	52.4%	8,521
0.5	23.9%	24.0%	8,521
0.75	10.1%	10.5%	8,521
1	4.6%	4.8%	8,521
1.5	1.1%	1.2%	8,521

Gold spot (XAU/USD)

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	未測定	未測定	—
0.25	未測定	未測定	—
0.5	未測定	未測定	—
0.75	未測定	未測定	—
1	未測定	未測定	—
1.5	未測定	未測定	—

各追跡 crypto 市場について、セッション基準点から ±0.1 / 0.25 / 0.5 / 0.75 ATR の P(touch)。

週末は静かです。oddsは変わるため、週末用の数値を別に表示します。

Live status measured against today's session range from the data feed; probabilities are anchored at 00:00 UTC (today's day type: weekday) — the feed's session-range window may not start exactly at that instant, see methodology. Weekends trade a measurably different, thinner regime, so weekday and weekend use separate probability curves.

既知の欠落: day_type=vse (pooled weekday+weekend) is not served — weekday and weekend are measurably different regimes, so the site must always pick the row matching today's UTC day type. Cells flagged rare in the source parquet (p<0.01 or p>0.99; 21.7% of all rows) are dropped entirely, not served — they render as 'not yet measured' the same as any other missing combo.

市場	±0.1 ATR	±0.25 ATR	±0.5 ATR	±0.75 ATR
Bitcoin直近 83429.99	↑83.1% ↓80.7% ✓83% 81% +2.4pp	↑56.0% ↓55.7% ✓56% 56% +0.3pp	↑26.1% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.6pp	↑12.9% ↓15.0% 13% 15% -2.2pp
Ethereum直近 2503.01	↑83.1% ↓80.7% ✓83% ✓81% +2.4pp	↑56.0% ↓55.7% ✓56% 56% +0.3pp	↑26.1% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.6pp	↑12.9% ↓15.0% 13% 15% -2.2pp
Solana直近 107.16	↑79.5% ↓82.7% ✓80% ✓83% -3.1pp	↑53.6% ↓59.1% ✓54% 59% -5.4pp	↑26.4% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.3pp	↑12.8% ↓13.8% 13% 14% -0.9pp
Avalanche直近 10.20	↑79.5% ↓82.7% ✓80% ✓83% -3.1pp	↑53.6% ↓59.1% 54% 59% -5.4pp	↑26.4% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.3pp	↑12.8% ↓13.8% 13% 14% -0.9pp
Chainlink直近 12.90	↑79.5% ↓82.7% ✓80% 83% -3.1pp	↑53.6% ↓59.1% ✓54% 59% -5.4pp	↑26.4% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.3pp	↑12.8% ↓13.8% 13% 14% -0.9pp
Dogecoin直近 0.0844	↑79.5% ↓82.7% ✓80% ✓83% -3.1pp	↑53.6% ↓59.1% ✓54% 59% -5.4pp	↑26.4% ↓27.7% 26% 28% -1.3pp	↑12.8% ↓13.8% 13% 14% -0.9pp

BitcoinEthereumSolana

上方向のみ表示。各市場のドロワーに上下両方の完全な曲線あり。

Bitcoin · 直近値 83429.99

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	83.1%	80.7%	1,696
0.25	56.0%	55.7%	1,696
0.5	26.1%	27.7%	1,696
0.75	12.9%	15.0%	1,696

Ethereum · 直近値 2503.01

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	83.1%	80.7%	1,696
0.25	56.0%	55.7%	1,696
0.5	26.1%	27.7%	1,696
0.75	12.9%	15.0%	1,696

Solana · 直近値 107.16

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.5%	82.7%	2,622
0.25	53.6%	59.1%	2,622
0.5	26.4%	27.7%	2,622
0.75	12.8%	13.8%	2,622

Avalanche · 直近値 10.20

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.5%	82.7%	2,622
0.25	53.6%	59.1%	2,622
0.5	26.4%	27.7%	2,622
0.75	12.8%	13.8%	2,622

Chainlink · 直近値 12.90

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.5%	82.7%	2,622
0.25	53.6%	59.1%	2,622
0.5	26.4%	27.7%	2,622
0.75	12.8%	13.8%	2,622

Dogecoin · 直近値 0.0844

距離 (ATR)	P(上方向タッチ)	P(下方向タッチ)	n
0.1	79.5%	82.7%	2,622
0.25	53.6%	59.1%	2,622
0.5	26.4%	27.7%	2,622
0.75	12.8%	13.8%	2,622

読み方: 各セルは、セッション基準点からその時間軸が終わる前に価格が ±d ATR に触れる確率を、上半分と下半分に分けたもの。ライブ状態はその水準を今日の実際の高値/安値と比較する。チェックマークは今日すでに発生、点滅ドットはセッション進行中で未発生、空円はセッション終了まで未発生。非対称性は P(up) minus P(down) をパーセントポイントで示す。各側がどれだけ触れられるかの偏りで、売買シグナルではない。

指数先物、株式セクター群（ETFs / mega-caps / high-beta）と暗号資産群（BTC & ETH / alt L1s）は、それぞれ1つの確率面を共有する。同じグループ内で数値が一致するのは仕様であり、バグではない。